Steve H. has some thoughts on the current Hurricane seasonand Global Warming in general...
What a Disappointing Hurricane Season
For Imbeciles
I am loving the collapse of global warming. Aren't you?
The whole thing was a pack of lies intended to give the left a political edge, give Asian economies an advantage over the US, and make money for huge companies that have backroom government contracts to produce worthless ethanol. It was a dangerous assault on the economy as well as our common sense. And it looks like it's finally falling apart.
This week Drudgebart linked to a story about a new survey proving that the weak consensus among published scientists is that "anthropogenic climate change" hasn't been proven to exist. And hey, where are those killer hurricanes I ordered? Hell, I'm still waiting for last year's shipment.
In 2005, we had a hurricane season the likes of which Florida has never experienced. And the green wienies were thrilled to death. Katrina was a month-long orgasm for them; every new piece of bad news restarted the party. And they said more was on the way! We were going to PAY for not sitting around in huts, eating twigs and trying not to fart. And we braced for the wave of storms, and people bought $25,000 generators, and...nothing happened. Not only were there no killer storms; it was one of the weakest seasons in history. Not just quiet, but truly pathetic by meteorological standards.
So far this year, we've had one hurricane. Go root through the archives at NOAA or Weather Underground to get an idea what that means. No, don't. I'll tell you what it means. It means the season is a dud.
The other day I saw a graph of historical hurricane activity, showing the likelihood that hurricanes would land on certain dates. It turns out the nearly exact middle of the season is September 10, which is almost here. We're already seeing the weather that will affect us by that date. Around half of the storms hit before the tenth, and the rest after. September 10 is less than two weeks away, and we've had one measly storm. Which did only a modest amount of damage, in spite of all the "CATEGORY 5!" pants-wetting.
Heh... He goes on to quote the NOAA prediction for this year and then explains what it means:
Here's a snippet from Weather Underground:
NOAA's season hurricane forecast issued May 22 predicts a very high (75% chance) of an above-normal hurricane season, a 20% chance of a near-normal season, and only a 5% chance of a below-normal season. They expect 13-17 named storms, 7-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes (a normal season has 10-11 named storm, 6 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes). Most of these storms are expected during the usual August-October peak of hurricane season.
So in order to make NOAA's forecast even minimally relevant, we have to have 10 named storms (not hurricanes, just storms) between now and December 1. Okay, 9 if you count "subtropical storm" Andrea, which I don't, because Andrea wasn't a real tropical storm, and it was extremely wimpy. That's three and one third per month. Who seriously expects that to happen? It could. And fish could fall from the sky. That happens, too, from time to time. But you don't plan your life around it.
We also have to have five hurricanes, or 1.67 per month. Do you see that happening? I don't.
I just realized something. Comparing 2006--a very, very quiet year--to 2007, I see that 2007 is on track to be even weaker! By this time in 2006, we had had one hurricane and five real (non-Andrea) tropical storms. How about that? Hey...maybe we had it backward! Maybe global warming is making hurricanes crap out!
How many times do we have to be hit in the face with the same two-by-four before we get it? WE CAN'T PREDICT THE WEATHER IN THE LONG TERM. As one of the leading climatologists in the world said, five days is too much to ask. NOAA's forecasts are utterly worthless. A joke. Two years running, and probably before that, if anyone bothers to check.
So anyway, I am really hoping we'll give up on ethanol, which is going to starve lower-income Americans at the expense of Archer Daniels Midland. And I'm hoping we'll start building the nuclear reactors and refineries we need so badly. What the public doesn't realize yet is that there are traditional fat cats and green fat cats, and on the whole, the traditional fat cats are much less dangerous, because we understand them, and they already live under a microscope, and their game is based on the free market and common sense (as well as greed). The green fat cats...their game is based on greed and a faulty religion. Because like I always say, "Global warming is real" is the premise, not the conclusion. These people start with "Global warming is real" and then gather or manufacture facts to prove it, and if you disagree, Heidi Cullen from The Weather Channel tries to ruin your credentials and make you the focus of a Nuremberg trial.
He kind of sums it up nicely with the "WE CAN'T PREDICT THE WEATHER IN THE LONG TERM" line.
