Recently in Politics Category

Quid Pro Joe simply does not get it

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Out of the loop - from The Daily Wire:

Joe Biden: ‘We Don’t Need Standing Armies’; ‘We Should Be Helping’ Communist China
Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden made a series of troubling remarks this week about U.S. national security matters, stating that the U.S. does not need a standing military and that the U.S. should be focusing on helping communist China.

“We talk about China as our competitor? We should be helping, and benefiting ourselves by doing that,” Biden said during a campaign event in Iowa. “But the idea that China is going to eat our lunch, it was like I remembered debates in the late 90s, remember Japan was going to own us? Give me a break.”

The fact that he is the serious cantidate for the Democrat nomination give me a case of the blue-blind paralytic willies. Biden is just pandering to the millenials - he does not understand realpolitik. President Trump does which is why we are signing treaties right and left. Treaties that are benficial to the wishes and policies of these United States.

I like her - Tulsi Gabbard

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She is a classical Democrat in the mold of J.F. Kennedy - if she were running for President, I would have a hard decision between her and Trump. She is not afraid of the outgoing (thankfully) Clinton cartel. From the New York Post:

Tulsi Gabbard sues Hillary Clinton for defamation
Democratic presidential hopeful Tulsi Gabbard has filed a defamation suit against Hillary Clinton for calling her a “Russian asset,” according to newly filed court papers.

“Tulsi Gabbard is running for President of the United States, a position Clinton has long coveted, but has not been able to attain,” Wednesday’s Manhattan federal lawsuit reads. “In October 2019 — whether out of personal animus, political enmity, or fear of real change within a political party Clinton and her allies have long dominated — Clinton lied about her perceived rival Tulsi Gabbard. She did so publicly, unambiguously, and with obvious malicious intent.”

The former secretary of state has refused to walk back comments she made during an Oct. 17 appearance on a podcast, in which she referred to the Hawaii congresswoman as a “favorite of the Russians.”

I am saddened by the news of her upcoming suicide. She will be shooting herself in the back of the head three times.

No comments - just watch:

President Trump's rallies

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He has always drawn capacity crowds with people lining up hours before the start to get in to the stadium. What is interesting is that they are not always right-wing republicans. From NOQ Report:

Shocking 57.9% of attendees at President’s rally in Milwaukee were NOT Republicans
The worst case scenario for Democrats’ hopes in the presidential election seems to have already manifested. For them to have a chance, they’ll need to hold fellow Democrats in line with their nominee and pull in as many Independents as possible, especially in swing states like Wisconsin. If the numbers posted by Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale are any indicator, Democrats have a tremendous hill to climb.

According to Parscale, last night’s rally, which ran concurrently with the Democratic debate, had a whopping 20,395 voters in attendance. But the President is used to enjoying huge crowds of supporters, so that alone isn’t a huge deal. What’s most surprising, or as Parscale calls it, “Yuge,” if that 57.9% of voters in attendance were NOT Republicans.

It’s one of those statistics that would be hard to believe if it weren’t so overwhelming. Even if there are inaccuracies in the high-5% range, it still means over half of those coming out to support the President were people who do not identify with his political party.

Polls generally run around 5-10% margin of error so this is a landslide in the making. The people are tired of being lied to and of seeing their cities deteriorating while the cultural elites live in gated communities and living in a bubble. We The People are speaking.

Great news from Taiwan

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They re-elected a conservative President - from Roger Simon:

Taiwan Landslide Signals Bull Market for Democracy
Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen may not owe her entire record-breaking landslide reelection victory to Hong Kong’s democracy demonstrators, but she owes a good part of it to those courageous young people.

They made her reelection a referendum on China’s leader Xi Jinping’s harsh reaction toward protest in that famed city only 450 miles west of Taiwan.

The Taiwanese had already taken notice of the sudden decline in tourism to their island from the mainland. Last summer, the People’s Republic of China restricted individuals from traveling to Taiwan lest they learn too much about what was happening in Hong Kong. Only groups that could be more closely watched were allowed to go.

Democracy can be catching. (As I type this, it seems to be spreading all the way from Taipei to Tehran.)

Roger is in Taiwan visiting - one of his observations:

Lurking behind all this is ye olde Two China question. In order to appease Mao Zedong and Zhou Enlai and open the door to China, Nixon and Kissinger decreed U.S. policy to be one China only—the People’s Republic. Taiwan was left to twist in the wind, figuratively and literally, with but minor exceptions, for decades.

Then Trump broke the code, as he has done with so many things, and called Tsai to congratulate her when she won her first presidential election in 2016, an act of de facto recognition.

The Taiwanese rejoiced and still do. I saw it with my own eyes in the “rock star” status given our delegation leader Steve Yates, who is associated here with Trump’s decision.

I love Taiwan - visited there only once but have some fond memories. I own a number of machine tools and prefer the Taiwanese tools to the Chinese - much better manufacturing tolerances and higher quality. I buy a lot from Grizzly tools and their Taiwanese factories are much better than the average Chinese facility.

Iran - three headlines

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Looks like things might be falling apart sooner rather than later. Three headlines:

First story is classic negotiating. Let your opponent understand that they have nothing that could bring you to the table. Puts them in a much weaker position when trying to get something out of you.

Second story is a reminder to the Iranian theocrats that we have more cruise missiles and we have very good intelligence. We knew where General Salami was and we got him.

Third story? The Iranian government just justified an operation by us to bring their government down. Firing on your own citizens is not cool.

My only question is how big of a landslide will President Trump's victory be this November.

Two rallies

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Two rallies - a tweet and a reply:

Joe Biden and John Kerry and only eleven people show up. Compare with President Trump's last rally.

A comparison - two embassy attacks

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The difference summed up in an infographic:


Any questions? Thought not.

From FOX News:

Cruz pushes Senate resolution praising Soleimani mission, daring Dems to oppose
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, a noted Iran hawk, is circulating a resolution in the Senate that would commend the Trump administration for killing Iranian Gen. Qassem Soleimani, aides told Fox News on Friday.

And Senator Cruz is being very very clever here:

An aide said the resolution is “structured and worded the same way as a 2011 resolution that commended the Obama administration for killing Bin Laden, which received unanimous support in the Senate.” Cruz is trying to get Democrats on the record supporting the mission.

It’s an apparent effort by Republicans to try to dare Democrats to oppose virtually the same resolution the Senate adopted to applaud then President Barack Obama in 2011 after the killing of Osama bin Laden.

A simple up or down vote - yes or no. Get them on the record for either approving or disapproving this action.
Seems like Senator Cruz has been taking Saul Alinski's words to heart.

The USA's response to the raid on our Embassy was swift, pinpoint and decisive. From The Washington Free Beacon:

Trump Calls the Ayatollah’s Bluff
The successful operation against Qassem Suleimani, head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard, is a stunning blow to international terrorism and a reassertion of American might. It will also test President Trump's Iran strategy. It is now Trump, not Ayatollah Khamenei, who has ascended a rung on the ladder of escalation by killing the military architect of Iran's Shiite empire. For years, Iran has set the rules. It was Iran that picked the time and place of confrontation. No more.

Reciprocity has been the key to understanding Donald Trump. Whether you are a media figure or a mullah, a prime minister or a pope, he will be good to you if you are good to him. Say something mean, though, or work against his interests, and he will respond in force. It won't be pretty. It won't be polite. There will be fallout. But you may think twice before crossing him again.

A good analysis - President Trump says what he means and he does what he says he will do. This is #1) - being an adult and #2) - showing leadership.

Quite the list - President Trump

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From the Washington Examiner:

Exclusive: Trump list shows 319 'results' and promises kept in three years
One month shy of completing three years in office, President Trump has fulfilled or is making significant progress on most of his 2016 campaign promises, which aides said give him a strong reelection argument to counter his impeachment by a bitterly partisan House last week.

As the president and his team ready for the 2020 campaign at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida, officials said it would be built on the administration's achievements list of 15 categories and 319 “results.”

Vice President Mike Pence told Secrets that the message is simple: “Promises made, promises kept.” Pence, who has already hit the campaign trail in a specially outfitted Trump-Pence bus, added, “Thanks to President Trump’s leadership, we are living in a stronger and more secure America with the best economy in the history of this country.”

Pence gets it - Promises made, promises kept. Simple as that. Leadership. 

A comparison - embassy attacks

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A good look at the Benghazi embassy attack versus the recent attack in Baghdad - from the Daily Sounder:

Obama Waited 13 Hours To Help In Benghazi, Trump Waited 13 Minutes To Help In Iraq
In 2012, it took 13 hours for President Barack Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to send help to Americans at the U.S. Embassy in Benghazi. By the time backup arrived, it was too late — four Americans were killed, including U.S. Ambassador Christopher Stevens.

With President Donald Trump, the era of timidity and lenience is over — he sent help to the besieged U.S. Embassy in Baghdad in just minutes.

100 Marines arrived overnight. Two Apache gunships kept them safe as they were inbound. 750 paratroopers have been on “immediate standby.” Two dozen helicopters were ready to rock and roll.

Trump, unlike Obama, knows the drill — America is the first to the fight and the last to leave.

This mighty display is who America has always been, but has remained dormant under Obama as he attempted to negotiate with hostile Middle Eastern countries and implement progressive diplomatic relations.

It didn’t work.

In fact, not only did it not work, Obama and his top officials lied to the American people about what really happened in Benghazi, claiming that it was a spur-of-the-moment incident over a random Youtube video. It wasn’t until two weeks later that they admitted the incident was coordinated and a well-orchestrated attack.

There were no smoke and mirrors with Trump.

There was no deceptive, weeks-long campaign.

There was only swift action by the president to save Americans at the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad

Pesident Trump is the adult in the room. This is true leadership. Obama was a big mistake.

Tip 'o the hat to Mostly Cajun for this:


Going to be a fun ride. Need to buy more popcorn...

And STAY purged - Georgia

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I had written about Georgia's efforts to clean up the voter rolls - over 300K voters were still listed despite their not voting and not responding to a letter. The activist group seeking to keep these voters listed was Fair Fight and I wrote:

And of course, Fair Fight's pedigree is pure Democrat:

Fair Fight, founded by allies of Democrat Stacey Abrams after her defeat in the election for governor last year, is suing the state over obstacles that voters faced last year, including registration cancellations , long lines ,  precinct closures and rejected absentee ballots.

Of course the Dems are going to complain - they have nothing to offer. Their only way to win is to cheat. Busing voters around to multiple polling sites, casting ballots for deceased or moved citizens. That is the only way they can gain an edge. Heaven help them if they try to win on good ideas - their only platform is the narrative

Good news from the legal profession - from PJ Media:

Federal Judge Denies Effort to Restore 98,000 Purged Georgia Voters
A federal judge ruled on Friday that the state of Georgia acted within the law by purging 98,000 voters from registration rolls who hadn't voted in 8 years or responded to a mailed notification letter.

All told, Georgia purged nearly 300,000 people who were either inactive or did not respond to the mailer. Liberal groups fought the purge claiming it was unconstitutional.

But the judge didn't see it that way.

Nothing so sweet as the taste of liberal tears...

Now that did not take long - Brexit

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Not sitting around - from the Beeb:

Brexit: MPs back Boris Johnson's plan to leave EU on 31 January
MPs have backed Prime Minister Boris Johnson's plan for the UK to leave the EU on 31 January.

They voted 358 to 234 - a majority of 124 - in favour of the EU (Withdrawal Agreement) Bill, which now goes on to further scrutiny in Parliament.

The bill would also ban an extension of the transition period - during which the UK is out of the EU but follows many of its rules - past 2020.

The PM said the country was now "one step closer to getting Brexit done".

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn told his MPs to vote against the bill, saying there was "a better and fairer way" to leave the EU - but six of them backed the government.

The people voted for Brexit. Corbyn stalled.
Door, ass, bang. Next?
The people have spoken.

President Trump is NOT impeached

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You read that right - from Bloomberg:

Trump Isn’t Impeached Until the House Tells the Senate
Now that the House of Representatives has voted to impeach President Donald Trump, what is the constitutional status of the two articles of impeachment? Must they be transmitted to the Senate to trigger a trial, or could they be held back by the House until the Senate decides what the trial will look like, as Speaker Nancy Pelosi has hinted?

The Constitution doesn’t say how fast the articles must go to the Senate. Some modest delay is not inconsistent with the Constitution, or how both chambers usually work.

But an indefinite delay would pose a serious problem. Impeachment as contemplated by the Constitution does not consist merely of the vote by the House, but of the process of sending the articles to the Senate for trial. Both parts are necessary to make an impeachment under the Constitution: The House must actually send the articles and send managers to the Senate to prosecute the impeachment. And the Senate must actually hold a trial.

If the House does not communicate its impeachment to the Senate, it hasn’t actually impeached the president. If the articles are not transmitted, Trump could legitimately say that he wasn’t truly impeached at all.

That’s because “impeachment” under the Constitution means the House sending its approved articles of to the Senate, with House managers standing up in the Senate and saying the president is impeached.

And they are holding off on this step. Interesting... Time for another bowl of popcorn.

Trump Derangement Syndrome - it's a thing. Read about it here: TDS 

One of the by-products of the whole Mueller/Impeachment nothingburger was the railroading of Mr. Carter Page - a loyal CIA employee who was painted as working for the Russians when in fact, he was one of the very good guys.
Jonathan Turley writes a very humble apology and a full explanation of what happened at The Hill:

An apology to Carter Page
After he was acquitted in a major fraud trial, former Labor Secretary Ray Donovan asked, “Which office do I go to to get my reputation back?” The trial was ruinous for Donovan, personally and financially, and the question was a fair one. Donovan, however, at least received a trial. Former Trump campaign adviser Carter Page has never been given a fair hearing, let alone a trial, to clear his name. As the two political parties spin the results of a report by Justice Department Inspector General Michael Horowitz, one matter remains unaddressed. Someone needs to apologize to Page.

I do not know Page and have had only one conversation with him that I can recall. Indeed, my only impression of him was shaped by the image, repeated in endless media segments, of a shady character who was at worst a Russian spy and at best a Russian stooge. Page became the face and focus for the justification of the Russia collusion investigation. His manifest guilt and sinister work in Moscow had to be accepted in order to combat those questioning the allegations of Trump campaign collusion with the Russians. In other words, his guilt had to be indisputable in order for the Russia collusion investigation to be, so to speak, unimpeachable.

Ultimately, special counsel Robert Mueller found no evidence of collusion or conspiracy by Trump associates or the campaign with those Russians intervening in the election. However, Horowitz found that the FBI never had any real evidence against Page before beginning its investigation, codenamed Operation Crossfire Hurricane. Soon after the investigation was opened, it became clear that Page had been wrongly accused and was, in fact, working for the CIA, not the Russians. Page himself later said he was working with the CIA, yet the media not only dismissed his claim but was very openly dismissive while portraying him as a bumbling fool.

Horowitz found that FBI investigators and lawyers had determined that the allegations involving Page fell short of a case for probable cause to open a secret warrant under the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act. Those investigators were then told by the eventually fired FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe to look at the Steele dossier, which was actually funded by the Clinton campaign and the Democratic National Committee. The Clinton campaign denied repeatedly that it funded the dossier but finally admitted doing so after being confronted by media with new information.

Despite warnings about the credibility of Steele and red flags over the unreliability of the dossier, Horowitz found that “FBI leadership” used the dossier to justify its application for a FISA warrant. Democratic members of Congress and a wide array of media outlets have long told the public that the dossier was just one part of the FISA application. That is false. Horowitz states that the dossier played the “central and essential role” in securing the secret surveillance of the Trump campaign, including four investigations with both electronic surveillance and undercover assets.

Long read but really worth it so that people on both sides of the fence can now what actually happened under the auspices of a radicalized Federal Bureau of Investigation and how the deep state worked to try to bring down a duly elected President. Refreshing to see some actual painstaking journalism and accurate reporting.

Talk about a righteous smack-down

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Nancy Pelosi is missing and the last place she was standing is now covered in a few inches of sulfur smelling ash and brimstone. From The White House:

Letter from President Donald J. Trump to the Speaker of the House of Representatives

Dear Madam Speaker:
I write to express my strongest and most powerful protest against the partisan impeachment crusade being pursued by the Democrats in the House of Representatives. This impeachment represents an unprecedented and unconstitutional abuse of power by Democrat Lawmakers, unequaled in nearly two and a half centuries of American legislative history.

The Articles of Impeachment introduced by the House Judiciary Committee are not recognizable under any standard of Constitutional theory, interpretation, or jurisprudence. They include no crimes, no misdemeanors, and no offenses whatsoever. You have cheapened the importance of the very ugly word, impeachment!

By proceeding with your invalid impeachment, you are violating your oaths of office, you are breaking your allegiance to the Constitution, and you are declaring open war on American Democracy. You dare to invoke the Founding Fathers in pursuit of this election-nullification scheme—yet your spiteful actions display unfettered contempt for America’s founding and your egregious conduct threatens to destroy that which our Founders pledged their very lives to build. Even worse than offending the Founding Fathers, you are offending Americans of faith by continually saying “I pray for the President,” when you know this statement is not true, unless it is meant in a negative sense. It is a terrible thing you are doing, but you will have to live with it, not I!

Heh - a few excerpts:

Everyone, you included, knows what is really happening.  Your chosen candidate lost the election in 2016, in an Electoral College landslide (306-227), and you and your party have never recovered from this defeat.  You have developed a full-fledged case of what many in the media call Trump Derangement Syndrome and sadly, you will never get over it!  You are unwilling and unable to accept the verdict issued at the ballot box during the great Election of 2016.  So you have spent three straight years attempting to overturn the will of the American people and nullify their votes.  You view democracy as your enemy!

And this:

There is nothing I would rather do than stop referring to your party as the Do-Nothing Democrats.  Unfortunately, I don’t know that you will ever give me a chance to do so.

And this:

Look at yourself and others.  Do not take our country down with your party.

Ouch!  And this:

I have no doubt the American people will hold you and the Democrats fully responsible in the upcoming 2020 election.  They will not soon forgive your perversion of justice and abuse of power.

It is a very long and very comprehensive letter and whomever wrote it really did an excellent job. Talk about scorched earth. I would love to hear her reply - if she doesn't have a stroke first.

Glad to see the gloves coming off finally. Much much more at the site.

The impeachment comes to the Senate

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And will get a righteous slapdown - from Breitbart:

McConnell Suggests Senate Will Move to Dismiss Impeachment After Opening Arguments
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) hinted in a speech on the Senate floor Tuesday morning that the Senate will move to dismiss the pending articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump after opening arguments in the expected trial.

McConnell was reacting to a proposal by Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) on Monday that the Senate call four additional, in-person witnesses that were not called, or not available, during the House inquiry, led by House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff (D-CA).

But McConnell dismissed that suggestion out of hand, arguing that Schumer was trying to make “Chairman Schiff’s sloppy work more persuasive.”

McConnell accused Schumer of going straight to the news media with his proposals rather than speaking to him in person, as Senate leaders had done in the past.

He also noted that Schumer had misquoted the Constitution. The Democrat leader had claimed the Constitution gave the Senate “sole Power of Impeachment,” whereas Article I, Section 3 actually states: “The Senate shall have the sole Power to try all Impeachments.”

“We don’t create impeachments over here … we judge them,” he declared.

And it is over in 3... 2... 1... Next?

Good news - cleaning up the voter rolls

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The state of Wisconsin is doing some house cleaning - from the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinal:

Judge orders state to purge more than 200,000 Wisconsin voters from the rolls
An Ozaukee County judge on Friday ordered the state to remove hundreds of thousands of people from Wisconsin's voter rolls because they may have moved.

The case is being closely watched because of the state's critical role in next year's presidential race. Circuit Judge Paul Malloy also denied the League of Women Voters of Wisconsin's petition to intervene.

Lawyers for the League and for the Wisconsin Elections Commission indicated they will appeal and asked Malloy to stay his ruling pending those appeals, but he declined.

At issue is a letter the state Elections Commission sent in October to about 234,000 voters who it believes may have moved. The letter asked the voters to update their voter registrations if they had moved or alert election officials if they were still at their same address.

Heh - 234,000 fewer democrat votes. Love it!

Russian collusion

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Don Surber asks some inconvenient questions this morning:

Why did Putin want to Make America Great Again?
For 3 years, the media and the rest of the Democrat Party have insisted that President Donald John Trump is a puppet of Vlad Putin, the chief commissar of Russia.

Don quotes some mainstream media types and then asks the following:

Having endured 3 years of this conspiracy theory by the tinfoil-hatted mainstream pundits, I am left with 10 questions.

    • Why did Putin want to Make America Great Again?
    • Why did Putin want America to rollback unnecessary regulations?
    • Why did Putin want Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh on the Supreme Court, and 50 new conservative judges on America's appellate courts?
    • Why did Putin want our personal income and corporate tax rates cut?
    • Why did Putin want our unemployment rate dropped to 3.5%?

Five more at the site. Don makes some very good points.

From New York Magazine's Intellegencer:

American Leftists Believed Corbyn’s Inevitable Victory Would Be Their Model
The British election results, like any election results, are the result of unique circumstances and multiple factors. They are also, however, a test of a widely articulated political theory that has important implications for American politics. That theory holds that Corbyn’s populist left-wing platform is both necessary and sufficient in order to defeat the rising nationalist right. Corbyn’s crushing defeat is a decisive refutation.

Many writers, not only on the left, detected parallels between the rise of Corbyn and the movement around Bernie Sanders. The latter is considerably more moderate and pragmatic than the former, and also not laden with the political baggage of Corbyn’s widely derided openness to anti-Semitic allies. And yet many leftists have emphasized the similarities between the two, which are indeed evident. Both built youth-oriented movements led by cadres of radical activists who openly set out to destroy and remake their parties. Both lost in somewhat close fashion, Sanders in 2016 and Corbyn the next year. And fervent supporters of both men treated their narrow defeats as quasi-victories, proof of victory just around the corner.

I love that the author compares Corbyn with Sanders. Both are innumerate twits who are decoupled from reality.

In their words: "Both built youth-oriented movements led by cadres of radical activists who openly set out to destroy and remake their parties". This is demagoguery. This is not leadership. The intelligent citizens want intelligent leaders. It is just that simple.

Great news from across the pond

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The People have Spoken - from PJ Media:

Boris Johnson After Landslide Victory: 'Irrefutable, Irresistible, Unarguable Decision' to Get Brexit Done
"With this mandate and this majority," British Prime Minister Boris Johnson asked his supporters after his party won a landslide victory against Labour, "we will at last be able to do what?" "Get Brexit done!" the crowd responded. "You've been paying attention!" he answered.

Thursday night was quite a night in Britain. Recent polls had indicated a tightening race between Boris Johnson's Conservative Party and Jeremy Corbyn's Labour party. I didn't believe those polls to be correct. And, I'm happy to say, they weren't. It wasn't anywhere near close. The Tories destroyed Labour. As of this writing, 649 out of 650 seats have declared. The Conservatives have won 364 seats in the House of Commons. Labour has to make do with 203. It's truly a historic result.

The Overton Window is sliding back for both of our nations. Glad tidings indeed. Johnson's use of: "Irrefutable, Irresistible, Unarguable" is downright Churchillian. So glad to see that some adults are in charge.

Heh - The Campaign Trail

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Found on the web:


As liberal heads explode

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President Trump appointed an openly gay man to the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals - from the Washington Blade
(America's LGBT News Source):

SHOCKER: Senate confirms Trump nominee as highest-ranking out gay judge
In a counter-intuitive development, the U.S. Senate approved on Tuesday an openly gay federal prosecutor named by President Trump for a seat on the U.S. Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals, making him the highest-ranking openly gay federal judge in the country.

The Republican-majority chamber approved Patrick Bumatay, who previously worked as a U.S. attorney in Southern California, to a lifetime seat on the federal appeals court. The vote was 53-40.

With Republicans voting in his favor and Democrats voting against him, the traditionally party roles on LGBTQ rights were shifted on the confirmation vote.

And this is curious but not surprising:

Sens. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.), the only out lesbian in the Senate, and Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.), the only open bisexual, were among the Democrats voting against Bumatay. Also voting against was Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore.), the chief sponsor of the Equality Act in the Senate.

Their TDS outranks their solidarity with their gay brethern.

The IG Report - statistical analysis

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Kerl Denninger gives a lengthy but excellent analysis of the Inspector General's Report - here is the intro:

The IG **Admits** DOJ/FBI Attempted A Putsch
The IG report, after reading through a good part of it, states that seventeen "errors" were made by the FBI.

May I remind you of an indisputable fact: Errors are randomly distributed.

That is, let's assume you intend to drive at 40mph.  If you make an error you will operate your car some of the time at 38mph, and some of the time at 42mph.  The errors, if they are actual errors, will be randomly distributed around the correct action.  Some of the errors will place you inside the correct action and some of them will be place you outside of the correct action.  Approximately an equal number of errors will fall on each side of the correct action; some will help you, some hurt, but given enough errors there should be an approximately equal number in each direction.

If your speed, as measured at 1 minute intervals, is 40, 42, 45, 43, 41, 40, 46, 50, 42 and 45 mph that is not "error."  You are instead driving with a floor of 40mph; your intent is to drive at no slower than 40mph.

The probability of an error is 50% in each direction.  Therefore half the errors should have been to Trump's benefit.

However, exactly zero of them were to Trump's benefit.

The odds of this being random chance can be computed.

The probability of the first error being to Trump's detriment is 0.5 (50%.)

Each successive "error" is also equally probable to be of either benefit or detriment.  So when the second error occurs for them to both be to Trump's detriment by random chance -- that is, if it's an actual error without motivation or bias, is 0.50 * 0.50, or 1 in 4.

For seventeen "errors" to be all in the same direction is 0.5 ^ 17, or exactly 1 in 131,072.

This is not quite as bad of odds as winning the Powerball but it clowns the claim that such were errors and not intentional acts that evince a predetermined goal or desire.

Go and read the rest - this was not a finding, this was a manipulation of data.

Tip of the hat to Peter Grant at Bayou Renaissance Man for the link. Peter adds:

The question is, will they, and the FBI, be allowed to get away with it?  The IG report suggests that the "deep state" would like to ensure that they do.  Attorney General Barr's comments on that report suggest that they may not - a consummation devoutly to be wished by any and all Americans who value the Constitution and laws of this country, irrespective of their political views.

I am hoping for justice and from recent events, it looks like we may get it. As well as four more years of rooting out the deep-state.

A reminder - history

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Great quote:

“No living man was ever charged with political crimes of such multiplicity and such enormity . . . . He has been denounced without end as a perjurer, a usurper, a tyrant, a subverter of the Constitution, a destroyer of the liberties of the country, a reckless desperado, a heartless trifler over the last agonies of an expiring nation. Had that which has been said of him been true there is no circle in Dante’s Inferno full enough of torment to expiate his iniquities.”
—New York Times, May 1864, describing Northern media descriptions of Abraham Lincoln, cited in Larry Tagg, The Unpopular Mr. Lincoln: The Story of America’s Most Reviled President.

Heh - the IG report

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The house of cards is teetering - from The Gateway Pundit:

BREAKING: US Attorney John Durham Releases Statement Disputing IG Report Conclusions
The DOJ Inspector General Michael Horowitz finally released his report on FISA abuses on Monday.

The report revealed what we knew to be true all along — the FBI defrauded the FISA court and purposely omitted exculpatory information from the FISA judges in order to obtain FOUR FISA warrants on Trump campaign advisor Carter Page.

As an aside - Carter Page is going to be set for life after he sues the FBI for what they did to him. His settlement will be in the multi-millions and the discovery process will expose the machinations at the FBI up to the top levels. Good.

Horowitz, however concluded that the FBI investigation into Trump was not politically motivated — and John Durham hit back.

We need to remember that although Horowitz is doing a decent job, he was an Obama appointee so his conclusions are different from mine regarding the 51 violations and 9 false statements

US Attorney from Connecticut John Durham immediately released a statement following the release of the FISA report and disputed Horowitz’s findings and conclusions.

“I have the utmost respect for the mission of the Office of Inspector General and the comprehensive work that went into the report prepared by Mr. Horowitz and his staff. However, our investigation is not limited to developing information from within component parts of the Justice Department. Our investigation has included developing information from other persons and entities, both in the U.S. and outside of the U.S. Based on the evidence collected to date, and while our investigation is ongoing, last month we advised the Inspector General that we do not agree with some of the report’s conclusions as to predication and how the FBI case was opened,” John Durham said in a rare statement.

John Durham was tapped by Bill Barr earlier this year to conduct an investigation into the origins of Spygate.

Looks like things are getting a bit hot for some miscreants in D.C.  I wonder how they are going to pace this as the 2020 elections are just 11 months away. Going to be an interesting summer - I can tell you that much.

...really cute commercial. From YouTube:

Brexit, actually. Boris Johnson's funny election advert parodies Love Actually but makes an important point: this election is too close to call. On Friday 13th December, we could have a hung parliament and Jeremy Corbyn could be Prime Minister, or a Conservative majority that gets Brexit done.

Your vote could be the difference. Vote Conservative on Thursday 12th December.

From Vanderleun who calls him England's Trump - so true and so needed. Time to move on. Get great things done.
Enough chattering and whinging from the children.

476 pages: Review of Four FISA Applications and Other Aspects of the FBI's Crossfire Hurricane Investigation

Not planning to read the whole thing - lots of other people will be doing just that and reporting whatever tid-bits are buried within. Nice to see daylight starting to creep in to the remains of the Obama administration.

So true - President John F. Kennedy

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If he were running today, I would vote for him in a heartbeat:


Turnabout is fair play - France

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Remember French President Emmanuel Macron laughing at our President Trump at the NATO meeting a few days ago?
At least, we do not have this - from the London Daily Mail:

Who's laughing now, Macron? France is paralyzed by worst nationwide strike for decades, with schools shutting and public transport grinding to a halt, as furious public sector workers protest pension reforms
More than 800,000 demonstrators marched on cities throughout France today, with railway workers, teachers and hospital staff joining the largest strike in decades.

Authorities in Paris barricaded the presidential palace and deployed some 6,000 police as activists, many in yellow vests, gathered for a major march aimed at forcing President Emmanuel Macron to abandon his pension reform plans.

Officers were forced to use tear gas to disperse rioters who set fire to a vehicle and smashed windows as tensions heightened close to the Place de la Republique square.

The labor unions over there demanded large pensions for their retired workers but the government did not fund them and they are starting to run out of money. Any attempt to fix this is met with protest. Unfortunately, the government has spent a lot of the money on and other social feel-good scams so they are between a rock and a hard place.

Meanwhile, back at home, from CNS News:

158,593,000 Employed in November: 24th Record Breaker for Trump
President Donald Trump frequently points to the strong economy as one of his major accomplishments, and today's employment summary gives him more bragging rights:

The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics says the economy added a whopping 266,000 jobs in November; and for the sixth month in a row, a record number of Americans were counted as employed.

158,593,000 Americans were working in November, the 24th record of Trump's presidency.

The unemployment rate dropped a tenth of a point to 3.5 percent, a 50-year low.

Leadership - not feel-good rhetoric.

And meanwhile...

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From Rasmussen Reports:

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-seven percent (47%) disapprove.

When you create a booming economy, record low unemployment numbers and trade deals favorible to us, people will think highly of you. Simple as that. It is called leadership.

These people are deranged

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President Trump did an open Q&A with the press at the NATO conference - almost a full hour. Here is what he had to say about Adam Schiff and Nancy Pelosi:

Could not have said it better myself...

Corruption and violence in Ukraine

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Even with a new president who is rooting out corruption, there is still a lot of it there. From the UK Independent:

Ukrainian politician’s three-year-old son killed in assassination attempt
The three-year-old son of a Ukranian politician has been shot dead during an assassination attempt on his father.

Vyacheslav Sobolev, a businessman and member of the Kiev regional council, was at the wheel of his Range Rover when gunmen opened fire in the country’s capital, Kiev, on Sunday.

Mr Sabolev and his wife were unharmed but his son Oleksandr was hit by a bullet and died in an ambulance on the way to hospital, the Kyiv Post newspaper reported.

The attackers then fled the scene in a Lexus.

Police have arrested two suspects, aged 18 and 19.

A bit more:

Mr Sobolev is a businessman from Donetsk, a flashpoint of pro-Russian insurgency in Ukraine. In 2010-2011 he was an executive at Ukraine’s state energy company Naftogaz.

There have been several murders of well-known figures on the streets of Kiev since Russia annexed Crimea and a pro-Moscow rebellion flared up in eastern Ukraine in 2014.

The Russian oligarchs are not nice people. They want the Ukraine back again. It will be interesting to read about the current NATO meetings in London. President Trump is over there now.

They released a 123 page rebuttal to the Democratic impeachment proceedings - full text here.

The Executive Summary sums it up pretty well:

The Democrats’ impeachment inquiry is not the organic outgrowth of serious misconduct; it is an orchestrated campaign to upend our political system. The Democrats are trying to impeach a duly elected President based on the accusations and assumptions of unelected bureaucrats who disagreed with President Trump’s policy initiatives and processes. They are trying to impeach President Trump because some unelected bureaucrats were discomforted by an elected President’s telephone call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. They are trying to impeach President Trump because some unelected bureaucrats chafed at an elected President’s “outside the beltway” approach to diplomacy.

Heh - President Trump does not play well with the deep state. Good for him. Of course, he tweeted:

He is having way too much fun with these morons. He has done nothing wrong, knows it and is just stringing them along - giving them enough rope to turn a phrase.

The Los Angeles Times thinks they understand "us deplorables":

Trump has turned the suburbs into a GOP disaster zone. Does that doom his reelection?
For decades, there was an unvaried rhythm to life in America’s suburbs: Carpool in the morning, watch sports on weekends, barbecue in the summer, vote Republican in November.

Then came President Trump.

The orderly subdivisions and kid-friendly communities that ring the nation’s cities have become a deathtrap for Republicans, as college-educated and upper-income women flee the party in droves, costing the GOP its House majority and sapping the party’s strength in state capitals and local governments nationwide.

The dramatic shift is also reshaping the 2020 presidential race, elevating Democratic hopes in traditional GOP strongholds like Arizona and Georgia, and forcing Trump to redouble efforts to boost rural turnout to offset defectors who, some fear, may never vote Republican so long as the president is on the ballot.

I hope the editorial staff do not have any money riding on the 2020 election. Looking forward to an even larger majority and another eight years of awesome.

Like running this Nation. From The Hill:

White House's letter to Nadler saying it won't participate in impeachment hearing
White House counsel Pat Cipollone on Sunday night informed House Judiciary Chairman Jerrold Nadler (D-N.Y.) that they will not take part in the panel's first impeachment hearing later this week.

Read the letter Cipollone sent to Nadler on behalf of President Trump below.

You can read all five pages yourself at ScribD - pretty much tears their process and thesis apart.

Another nothingburger. It will be fun to see the 2020 election results - people are getting pissed at the Dems being so focused on their Trump Derangement Syndrome and not doing the actual work they were elected to office for.

Interesting - Hong Kong / Canada

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Looks like the oh-so-liberal government of Justin Trudeau is waffling. From Canada's The Star:

Why this official says Justin Trudeau needs his ‘head examined’ over silence on Hong Kong
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau should get his “head examined” if he doesn’t think he needs to speak up about the situation in Hong Kong, says an official for Hong Kong’s Democratic Party.

Emily Lau, a pro-democracy and human rights activist, is the chair of the international affairs committee of Hong Kong’s Democratic Party and served 25 years on the city’s legislative council. Lau has been in Canada since last week, here to speak at a security forum in Halifax and accept the John McCain prize for public leadership on behalf of the people of Hong Kong. She said the silence from the Liberal government on events there is concerning.

“There are priorities and this one is a pressing issue, you see it on the news every day,” Lau said. “So, if the prime minister cannot find time to say something about it, his head needs examining.”

About 300,000 Canadians live in Hong Kong, but a recent electoral victory after months of unrest and riots in the city was not commented on by Trudeau.

Last week in Halifax, Lau took aim at the Canadian government, alleging it allows business to determine its China policy. In an interview with Star Vancouver she reiterated her worry that Canada’s government is putting money ahead of democracy and human rights.

At the risk of triggering him and sending him running to his "safe space", I would sugest that Justin needs to "man up" and denounce China for what it is - a totalitarian socialist regieme.

Is Newsweek still a thing?

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Fake news - from President Trump:

January 2020

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