Recently in Climate Category

In the fall and winter, winds in the eastern Mediterranean come out of the South. Some Church of Global Warming idiots are capitalizing on this to promote their narrative to the fellow travellers who do not bother to learn any history.
From BoingBoing:

Italy: Venice council flooded after 'NO' vote on climate change measures
Oops. Awkward.

An Italian council was flooded immediately after rejecting new measures to address the climate crisis that threatens to sink the city, and wreak havoc throughout the world.

The regional council of Veneto is situated on Venice's Grand Canal. On Tuesday night, the office flooded for the first time in its history, right after rejecting measures to fight climate change.

Actually very very awkward but not in the manner that they were hoping for. Acqua Alta (High Water) is a annual seasonal event that causes flooding in Venice and the surrounding areas. Been doing this forever. Will continue to keep doing this forever.

Also, even if this did not happen every fall/winter (to varying degrees), the waters of the Mediterranean are not rising. Venice is sinking. Some clickable headlines:

You get the idea - always been sinking. Always will.

Do the global warmists think that we are really that stupid or are they so completely out of talking points that they have to fabricate shit like this to try to win us over. Either way, speaks badly for them.

Not just the midwest

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Record cold all over:

7 killed in heavy snowfall in Kashmir valley

Parts of South Island 'snapping back to winter' with 0C morning (New Zealand)
Summer might be 18 days away, but it is feeling like winter never left in some parts of the country.

Road to the Lesachtal free again (Google translate - Austrian)
Because the precipitation has decreased significantly, the road from Kötschach Mauthen to St. Lorenzen in Lesachtal on Wednesday afternoon could be released again. In the Lesachtal there are so far about 70 centimeters of fresh snow, the schools are open again on Thursday.

Snowfall: Several blocked roads (Google translate - Algeria)

Winter heavily attacked in Scandinavia. He sleeps in Norway and Sweden (Google translate - Norwegian)
Winter is waging over Europe over Europe, resulting in heavy snowfall in some countries. In both Eastern Norway and central Sweden, it was snowing heavily on Monday, resulting in numerous collisions on the roads as well as disruption to airport operations.

I wonder where Al Gore is these days...

It's heeeere...

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Arctic cold blast - from Watts Up With That:

Arctic blast has arrived in the eastern US…numerous record low temperatures by early Wednesday

20191113-low-temp.jpg

Numerous record low temperatures were set this morning for the day and, in some cases,
the all-time low temperature for November was recorded; map courtesy coolwx.com, NOAA

Overview
The strong cold front representing the leading edge of a widespread Arctic air mass passed through the DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor early this morning and temperatures have fallen into the 30’s from early day highs. Precipitation is being enhanced in the cold air behind the front as a strong jet streak aloft generates upward motion in the I-95 corridor. As a result, a changeover to snow is likely during the mid-day and early afternoon hours in the immediate DC-to-Philly-to-NYC corridor and this changeover to snow is likely all the way to coastal New Jersey and Delmarva. Some spots could receive small snow accumulations and as temperatures drop to near freezing later in the day, watch for the possibility of “black ice” on some roadways. Precipitation winds down later today and the cold will become the main story with record low temperatures in numerous Mid-Atlantic/NE US locations by early tomorrow. Widespread records were set earlier today from Texas to the Great Lakes with some stations recording their lowest temperature ever for the month of November and we are not even at the halfway point.

I hope the power grid is able to keep up with the demands. More people die from cold than from heat.

More at the site.

Global warming?

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Great essay - Climate

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From Joel Kotkin writing at City Journal - really like his writing and really like City Journal overall.

Climate Stalinism
The Left’s fixation on climate change is cloaked in scientism, deploying computer models to create the illusion of certainty. Ever more convinced of their role as planetary saviors, radical greens are increasingly intolerant of dissent or any questioning of their policy agenda. They embrace a sort of “soft Stalinism,” driven by a determination to remake society, whether people want it or not—and their draconian views are penetrating the mainstream. “Democracy,” a writer for Foreign Policy suggests, constitutes “the planet’s biggest enemy.”

Today’s working and middle classes are skeptical about policies that undermine their livelihoods in the promise of distant policy goals. Even now, after a decade-long barrage of fear-mongering, a majority of Americans, Australians, and even Europeans doubt that climate change will affect their lives substantially. A recent UN survey of 10 million people found that climate change ranked 16th in concerns; most people in the developing world, notes environmental economist Bjorn Lomborg, “care about their kids not dying from easily curable diseases, getting a decent education, not starving to death.”

Much more at the site - calling it Climate Stalinism really defines the problem. This is science forced to fit the narrative and not the pure gathering of data and extrapolating trends. Reminds me of Trofim Denisovich Lysenko and his failed agronomy research. He was wrong wrong wrong but he was also politically connected so they accepted his narrative as fact and 100 million people starved to death.

Tip of the Stetson to Kim DuToit for the link. A daily read for me.

Looks like rain

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Forecast doesn't show rainfall until Saturday.

Tell that to the real world. No rain now but it is warm, humid - positively gravid.

President Trump is withdrawing the US from the Paris Climate Accord. Oh Nooooesssss!!!
But, let us look at some things he has done - from The Daily Wire:

BREAKING: Trump Admin Begins Withdrawal From Paris Climate Accord
The Trump administration announced on Monday that it was officially withdrawing from the Paris Climate Accord, with the withdrawal officially set to be completed one year from now.

“President Trump made the decision to withdraw from the Paris Agreement because of the unfair economic burden imposed on American workers, businesses, and taxpayers by U.S. pledges made under the Agreement,” Secretary of State Mike Pompeo wrote in a statement. “The United States has reduced all types of emissions, even as we grow our economy and ensure our citizens’ access to affordable energy.”

“Our results speak for themselves: U.S. emissions of criteria air pollutants that impact human health and the environment declined by 74% between 1970 and 2018,” Pompeo added. “U.S. net greenhouse gas emissions dropped 13% from 2005-2017, even as our economy grew over 19 percent.”

Several months after the Trump administration took power in Washington, D.C., the United States was rated as the top nation in the world for reducing CO2 emissions. Forbes reports:

According to the 2017 BP Statistical Review of World Energy, since 2005 annual U.S. carbon dioxide emissions have declined by 758 million metric tons. That is by far the largest decline of any country in the world over that timespan and is nearly as large as the 770 million metric ton decline for the entire European Union.

By comparison, the second largest decline during that period was registered by the United Kingdom, which reported a 170 million metric ton decline. At the same time, China’s carbon dioxide emissions grew by 3 billion metric tons, and India’s grew by 1 billion metric tons.

Carbon Dioxide is plant food so I for one thank our Chinese and Indian friends for their help increasing global crop yields. That being said, the Paris Accords are just a globalist shake-down of first world nations to deliver money to the third-world kleptocrats and their cronies. Any civilized nation should walk away from this deal - it has zero basis in science.
As President Trump tweeted two months ago:

Those are the facts and they are kind of hard to dispute. Cheap and abundent energy lifts people out of poverty and makes their environment cleaner. Proven true time and time again. Has never been proven wrong.

The stupid - it burns!!!

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New York State Governor doesn't know shit about climate. From the Daily Caller:

Andrew Cuomo: ‘We Didn’t Have Hurricanes’ Before Climate Change
Democratic New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo blamed climate change for damaging floods in upstate New York, and claimed that natural disasters didn’t happen before climate change.

“Ali, anyone who questions extreme weather and climate change is just delusional at this point,” Cuomo told MSNBC anchor Ali Velshi. ” We have seen in the State of New York and we have seen — it is something we never had before.”

“We didn’t have hurricanes or super storms or tornadoes,” Cuomo added.

Well gee - lookie here: List of New York hurricanes

List of New York hurricanes encompasses 84 tropical or subtropical cyclones that have affected the state of New York since the 17th century. The state of New York is located along the East coast of the United States, in the Northeastern portion of the country. The strongest of these storms was the 1938 New England Hurricane, which struck Long Island as a Category 3 storm on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale. Killing more than 600 people, it was also the deadliest. Tropical cyclones have affected the state primarily in September but have also hit during every month of the hurricane season, June through November. Tropical cyclones rarely make landfall on the state, although it is common for remnants of tropical cyclones to produce heavy rainfall and flooding.

People still take this clown seriously on ANYTHING?

Cheery news from Cliff Mass:

A Surge of Cold, Dry Air Envelopes the Northwest and Now Threatens California
Last night, very cold, dry air surged southward out of Canada, pushing into Washington and Oregon.

The pressures, temperature, and wind map for 8 AM this morning tells the story (below). The blue is cold air, with the primo stuff east of Cascades. Note the large pressure difference across the Cascades, which resulted in strong easterly winds in the Columbia Gorge and in Cascade mountain passes.

A bit more:

With very dry air above, the greenhouse warming effect of water vapor in the atmosphere will be lessened, and our temperatures should plummet tonight.  Be prepared for lots of frost when you go out tomorrow morning--and some cooler areas away from water will drop into the teens.

Already down (just checked) to 38°F and dropping. Last morning was a hard freeze with temps down to 30°F. Tomorrow morning will be solid. And California? Some folks just can not get a break:

But the real worry is for the folks in California.  The cold air moving south has an Amazon Prime account and the delivery will be overnight.   By tomorrow morning, the cold, dense air and associated high pressure will have moved southward through Nevada, setting up a large pressure difference across the Sierra Nevada (see map below for 5 AM Wednesday).  This pattern will set up Diablo winds for northern CA and Santa Ana winds for southern CA, threatening both areas.

Time to hunker down. I love the fall - crisp air and gorgeous foliage. Time to prepare for the winter dormancy and rebirth in spring. The cycles of the seasons. Once you learn to live with it, you do not need to fight it.

California - more wind

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And we are seeing the edge of it over the next couple of days - clear and sunny skies. From Cliff Mass:

Very Serious Wind Situation in Northern California This Weekend
Looking at the latest forecast model output reveals a scary situation developing over northern California for late Saturday and Sunday, where strong, dry offshore winds will provide a major wildfire hazard.

PG&E will have little choice but to de-energize a large portion of its system, blacking out hundred of thousands of customers.

Turns out that PG&E has done some good things:

One good thing is that PG&E has added hundreds of surface observation sites that provide an extraordinary view of the winds in the region.  To illustrate,  here is the maximum gust map for Thursday, north of San Francisco.  Lots of observations--and you can see the strong winds (75 and 80 mph) associated with the Kincade fire.  Not how winds change very rapidly in short distances.  Very valuable. 

Cliff has a lot more at the site.

Speaking of tornadoes

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My favorite storm chaser (Pecos Hank) just released another excellent video on tornadoes:

Some gorgeous work.

Still raining

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Not the gusty downpours of the cyclones. Much less Sturm und Drang but more of a constant and unrelenting fall.

The mighty Stilly at Arlington:

20191021-stilly01.png

You can see the initial cyclones and then the continuous rainfall driving the Stillaguamish river to ten times the average flow rate. Gage height is still a bit below flood stage:

20191021-stilly02.png

A bit above eight feet and flood stage is at fourteen. My meeting is at 11:00AM tomorrow so planning to drive down after that and take a look if it is still raining or if the weather looks interesting.

Cliff does his usual fantastic job of describing the landscape of climate change and highlighting the two main actors:

The Real Climate Debate
The real climate debate is not between "believers" and "deniers".
And not between Republicans and Democrats.

The real debate is certainly not over whether global warming, spurred by increasing greenhouse gases, is a serious problem that must be addressed. Both sides of the real climate debate agree on that.

1. A confident, non-political group that believes technology, informed investments, rational decision making, and the use of the best scientific information will lead to a solution of the global warming issue. An optimistic group that sees global warming as a technical problem with technical solutions. I will refer to these folks as the ACT group (Apolitical/Confident/Technical)

2. A group, mainly on the political left, that is highly partisan, anxious and often despairing, self-righteous, big on blame and social justice, and willing to attack those that disagree with them. They often distort the truth when it serves their interests. They also see social change as necessary for dealing with global warming, requiring the very reorganization of society. I call these folks the ASP group (Anxious, Social-Justice, Partisan).

There is no better way to see the profound difference between these two groups than to watch a video of the testimony of young activists at the recent House Hearing on Climate Change, which included Greta Thunberg, Jamie Margolin, Vic Barrett, and Benji Backer.

Jamie Margolin of Seattle talked about an apocalyptic future, with "corporations making billions" while they destroy the future of her generation.  Of feeling fear and despair.  Of a planet where the natural environment is undergoing collapse, where only a few years are left before we pass the point of no return, and where only a massive political shift can fix things, including the Green New Deal.  Watch her testimony to see what I mean.

Compare Ms. Margolin's testimony to that of University of Washington senior Benji Backer. 
Mr. Backer, leader of the American Conservation Coalition, a conservative/moderate group of young people supporting action to protect the environment, approaches the problem in a radically different way.  Instead of despair, there is optimism, recommending more scientific and technical research, a bipartisan attack on the problem, a rejection of an apocalyptic future, the building of new energy industries with potential benefits for the American economy, and a dedication to follow the science and not political expediency.  His testimony is here.

Both Ms. Margolin and Mr. Backer care deeply about the environment and want effective measures to deal with global warming.  Both their approaches and attitudes could not be more different.

Cliff proceeds to highlight the various groups looking to resolve the climate issue in the Seattle area. A really interesting insight and one we need to be aware of this coming election. There is a bunch of dirty politics coming from the Green Nude Eel people. The ASP group. Go and read the whole thing. Great comments too.

Our coming cold weather - agriculture

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You can point to graphs and forecasts all you want but when the computer models consistently (because you made them that way) churn out predictions of catastrophic warming, do not be surprised when the plants fail to believe you.

From Musings from the Chiefio who has been following this summers crop cycle:

Grain Growth Halted – Cold Is Here
I’ve put up postings on this for a while. Often citing Iceagenow.info lists of cold places or linking videos from farmers (most recently Yanasa Ama Ranch). Well, the USDA has just stated that this last round of freezing temperatures has effectively ended the grain season.

Why does this matter? Because due to a cold wet late spring, crop was planted late. To get full harvest would require growing into November. That’s impossible. Furthermore, a lot of crop was not harvested at the usual times so is still in the field. It is now more likely to rot there than to be harvested.

Yet the USDA, while calling the season done, is still keeping up rosy predictions on harvest amounts and yields. That’s not gonna work.

https://www.nass.usda.gov/Charts_and_Maps/Crop_Progress_&_Condition/2019/US_2019.pdf

Has corn at 55% “good to excellent” so quality and yield are down, then only 20% harvested. That’s about 1/2 of what was harvested at this time last year. Soybean numbers are almost the same at about 54% good and 25% harvested.

They close with the following:

Just make sure to keep an eye on how things finish out this year, and then do we get a repeat next year… Once we start stacking up 2 or 3 bad weather years in a row, that’s when I think it will start getting “dicey” on the world stage. The first year it is likely to just be a price bump on cheap meats. Chicken and pork.

Sage advice - a period of extended cooling would make major changes in the world's food supply. Better to be safe as it is not IF - it isWHEN

Cyclone #4

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Looks like this system is slowing down - here is the rainfall from the fourth cyclone:

20191019-cyclone4.png

Getting back to normal. A fun couple of days watching Mother Nature at work.

We did not lose power as our local Public Utilities Department has stayed on top of maintaining the infrastructure.

The last couple of cyclones

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Here is the flow for the Stillaguamish river in Arlington - since the ground was saturated from the first bout of rainfall, the succeeding cyclones rainfall arrived in the river a lot faster. You can see the spike in the discharge with "bumps" as one front ended and the next front came in.

20191018-stilly.png

Got another four or five days for this storm system to play out.

Flow rate of the Stillaguamish river at Arlington. This is the first cyclone which dumped the rain on Tuesday evening. It takes about 48 hours for the rainfall to percolate through the land and into the Stilly.

20191017-cyclone1.png

Us deplorables have gotten tired of the constant hectoring from the chicken-little crowd. Summit News:

Angry Londoners Drag Climate Change Protesters From Roof of Train
Angry Londoners furious at having their lives disrupted dragged ‘Extinction Rebellion’ climate change protesters from the roof of a train this morning.

The incident happened at Canning Town Tube station, located in London’s poor east end – a particularly stupid venue for Extinction Rebellion activists to try to pull such a stunt.

One decidedly middle class looking protester climbed on top of the train but was pelted with objects before being dragged back down to the platform.

And this:

London Underground staff had to intervene to prevent the protesters getting a substantial beating.

Good - engaging in this sort of self-centered behavior should be painful. They are just a bunch of virtue signalling pantywaists who live in their mother's basements and jump from one "cause" to the next.

The official Extinction Rebellion Twitter account later tried to compare their activists to Rosa Parks, despite the fact the footage shows white middle class activists being confronted by a mixed crowd which includes numerous black people.

As we document in the video below, the ‘Extinction Rebellion’ protest movement is one huge virtue signal centered around middle and upper middle class people lecturing working class people on how to live their lives.

The video is here: The Truth About Extinction Rebellion

Gale warning and more rain

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Got about 0.4" of rain last night - hard enough that it woke me up. Love the sound.

Gale warning through 5:00PM - those cyclones are moving through and it is going to be wet for the next six or seven days.

The rain is not showing in the river as yet - there is a large drainage basin and all the little creeks and rills have yet to reach the mighty Stillaguamish:

20191016-stilly.jpg

From their report on a sudden drop in temperature. The CBS Denver affiliate CBS4:

From 83° To 13°: That Was The Second Largest Temperature Change On Record!
Thursday evening before midnight, the temperature in Denver dropped to a record low of 13 degrees. The previous day the city came close to a record high with 83 degrees. This difference of 70 degrees in just 2 days is tied for second largest temperature change in Denver since 1872 when records began.

Shouldn't that read: Second Largest Temperature Drop On Record

The first is grammatically correct but not as accurate as Drop. I guess that they do not want to emphasize the overall cooling that is happening.

And some other chilling headlines:

And this tweet from amateur meteorologist, pastor and farmer Jordan Gackle

All of this cold and snow is about a month early compared to "normal". Our sun is very quiet - unusually so - and the Earth is starting to cool off. The warming period we had been experiencing over the last 100 years is coming to an end and it looks lilke we are entering a period of cooling.

First of the cyclones moving through

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Gusting up to 30MPH. No rain yet but it is coming.

From Cliff Mass:

The Meteorological Switch is About to Be Turned On
It is not unusual for the first few weeks of October to be relatively dry and sunny in the Northwest.

But quite typically, something happens during the third week of the month.. The jet stream sags south, storms--lined up in the Pacific-- make their way into the region.

20191015-cm.jpgA series of Pacific cyclones and fronts are lining up to visit us

And this year will be no different, with the first of a line of systems reaching our shores Wednesday morning. It is going to be wet, so get your rain gear ready.

Glad I got the outside buttoned up - doing a little more work today but mostly done.

The coming ice age

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A couple of headlines:

And then, there is this:

There is no climate emergency
A global network of 500 scientists and professionals has prepared this urgent message. Climate science should be less political, while climate policies should be more scientific. Scientists should openly address the uncertainties and exaggerations in their predictions of global warming, while politicians should dispassionately count the real benefits as well as the imagined costs of adaptation to global warming, and the real costs as well as the imagined benefits of mitigation.

Natural as well as anthropogenic factors cause warming
The geological archive reveals that Earth’s climate has varied as long as the planet has existed, with natural cold and warm phases. The Little Ice Age ended as recently as 1850. Therefore, it is no surprise that we now are experiencing a period of warming. Only very few peer-reviewed papers even go so far as to say that recent warming is chiefly anthropogenic..

Warming is far slower than predicted
The world has warmed at less than half the originally-predicted rate, and at less than half the rate to be expected on the basis of net anthropogenic forcing and radiative imbalance. It tells us that we are far from understanding climate change.

Climate policy relies on inadequate models
Climate models have many shortcomings and are not remotely plausible as policy tools. Moreover, they most likely exaggerate the effect of greenhouse gases such as CO2. In addition, they ignore the fact that enriching the atmosphere with CO2 is beneficial.

CO2 is plant food, the basis of all life on Earth
CO2 is not a pollutant. It is essential to all life on Earth. Photosynthesis is a blessing. More CO2 is beneficial for nature, greening the Earth: additional CO2 in the air has promoted growth in global plant biomass. It is also good for agriculture, increasing the yields of crops worldwide.

Global warming has not increased natural disasters
There is no statistical evidence that global warming is intensifying hurricanes, floods, droughts and suchlike natural disasters, or making them more frequent. However, CO2 mitigation measures are as damaging as they are costly. For instance, wind turbines kill birds and insects, and palm-oil plantations destroy the biodiversity of the rainforests.

Speaking truth to power.

From Mark Simone:

The List Of 120 Years Of Climate Scares By Scientists
Scientists seeking funding and journalists seeking an audience agree: panic sells.

“Global cooling is going to kills us all!” “No, wait: global warming is going to kill us all!”

Here's the list - an amazing chronology of the last 120 years of scare-mongering on climate.

      • 1895 - Geologists Think the World May Be Frozen Up Again – New York Times, February 1895
      • 1902 - “Disappearing Glaciers…deteriorating slowly, with a persistency that means their final annihilation…scientific fact…surely disappearing.” – Los Angeles Times
      • 1912 - Prof. Schmidt Warns Us of an Encroaching Ice Age – New York Times, October 1912
      • 1923 - “Scientist says Arctic ice will wipe out Canada” – Professor Gregory of Yale University, American representative to the Pan-Pacific Science Congress, – Chicago Tribune
      • 1923 - “The discoveries of changes in the sun’s heat and the southward advance of glaciers in recent years have given rise to conjectures of the possible advent of a new ice age” – Washington Post
      • 1924 - MacMillan Reports Signs of New Ice Age – New York Times, Sept 18, 1924
      • 1929 - “Most geologists think the world is growing warmer, and that it will continue to get warmer” – Los Angeles Times, in Is another ice age coming?
      • 1932 - “If these things be true, it is evident, therefore that we must be just teetering on an ice age” – The Atlantic magazine, This Cold, Cold World
      • 1933 - America in Longest Warm Spell Since 1776; Temperature Line Records a 25-Year Rise – New York Times, March 27th, 1933
      • 1933 – “…wide-spread and persistent tendency toward warmer weather…Is our climate changing?” – Federal Weather Bureau “Monthly Weather Review.”
      • 1938 - Global warming, caused by man heating the planet with carbon dioxide, “is likely to prove beneficial to mankind in several ways, besides the provision of heat and power.”– Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
      • 1938 - “Experts puzzle over 20 year mercury rise…Chicago is in the front rank of thousands of cities throughout the world which have been affected by a mysterious trend toward warmer climate in the last two decades” – Chicago Tribune
      • 1939 - “Gaffers who claim that winters were harder when they were boys are quite right… weather men have no doubt that the world at least for the time being is growing warmer” – Washington Post

Lot's more at the site. Panic sells newspapers and politicians love a good crisis - lets them grab power before the useful idiots realize that they are being sold out by their masters.

Heh - used to be the Gore Effect

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Now it's the Swedish Brat effect - from Tony Heller:

Which is why this scam has morphed from being called Global Warming to being called Climate Change.

More on the Gore Effect:

Gore Effect
The Gore Effect is an informal and satirical term which alleges a causal relationship between unseasonable cold weather phenomena and global warming activism, with particular emphasis on events attended by former Vice President of the United States and Nobel Peace Prize recipient Al Gore. Usage started when a speech of Al Gore on a global warming rally held in New York City met extremely cold winter weather in January 2004 and according Andrew Bolt after another Gore speech took place on a strikingly cold day in Boston in the same year.

Artist Point road closed

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Snowfall - last year it closed on the 28th, this year on the 7th. Earlier than usual. From the Dept. of Transportation:

Autumn snow and ice close SR 542 to Artist Point
Snow and icy conditions are forecasted on State Route 542/Mount Baker Highway and crews have closed the final 2.7 miles of the highway to vehicle traffic. The gate will remain closed until next year.

Washington State Department of Transportation maintenance crews remove snow and ice from SR 542 during the winter but this final stretch, known as the Road to Artist Point, is narrow with sharp curves and steep slopes. WSDOT closes it to vehicle traffic each winter season for the safety, while at the same time a portion of the road becomes part of Mt. Baker Ski Area’s terrain.

The earliest recorded closure was on September 27, 2007. It usually closes much later in October / November.

California is in for some fun times

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From Cliff Mass:

Major Potential for Strong Winds and Wildfires in Northern California
Later this week there is the potential for strong Diablo winds over northern California;  winds of sufficient strength to pose a major wildfire threat.

Currently, a far weaker wind event is occurring over northern California--as a result the power utility (PG&E) has shut off power to roughly ten thousand customers, including those near Paradise and Chico, CA.

The sea level pressure pattern this morning (8AM) shows high pressure pushing into the Northwest and southeastward into the intermountain region.  This high pressure is associated with cold air (green colors) in the interior.  Note the lower pressure and warm air over the CA coastal zone.    The result of this pattern is a large pressure gradient over the Sierra Nevada and northern CA that produce strong wind. (Winds accelerate from high to low pressure near terrain).

Sucks to be them. But it gets worse:

But today's minor blow is nothing compared to what will happen on Wednesday and Thursday.

By 5 AM on Wednesday, very cold, dense air, associated with high sea level pressure, will surge into the Pacific Northwest (see below).   Yes...that will bring more snow to the Cascades and Rockies.

At the leading edge of the cold air, there will be a large pressure difference (gradient) the produces strong winds.      The image below for 5 AM shows an intense pressure gradient over northern California.   But it will get stronger and move south.

Cliff has the weather maps - looks like we will get some of it here in the pacific northwet but California is going to get creamed but good.

Our changing weather - the middle east

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From Gulf News:

Heavy rain hits Dubai and Sharjah
Dubai: Heavy to moderate rain hit most areas of the UAE on Wednesday.

Early showers greeted Dubai and Sharjah commuters, delaying some from reaching offices on time. The extension of a low pressure coming from the eastern UAE also brought heavy rain associated with thunder and lightning over Al Ain at around 8am on Wednesday, according to the UAE Met office.

Fujairah and adjoining areas also had wet weather at around 5am while Abu Dhabi, Khalifa City and adjoining areas reported rain at 4am.

No numbers on the actual amount of precip but any rain is a rarity - this is a desert we are talking about. Cold and rain - a result of our quiet sun.

News from the climate wars - 2004

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The Guardian from February 22nd, 2004:

Now the Pentagon tells Bush: climate change will destroy us
Climate change over the next 20 years could result in a global catastrophe costing millions of lives in wars and natural disasters..

A secret report, suppressed by US defence chiefs and obtained by The Observer, warns that major European cities will be sunk beneath rising seas as Britain is plunged into a 'Siberian' climate by 2020. Nuclear conflict, mega-droughts, famine and widespread rioting will erupt across the world.

The document predicts that abrupt climate change could bring the planet to the edge of anarchy as countries develop a nuclear threat to defend and secure dwindling food, water and energy supplies. The threat to global stability vastly eclipses that of terrorism, say the few experts privy to its contents.

'Disruption and conflict will be endemic features of life,' concludes the Pentagon analysis. 'Once again, warfare would define human life.'

The findings will prove humiliating to the Bush administration, which has repeatedly denied that climate change even exists. Experts said that they will also make unsettling reading for a President who has insisted national defence is a priority.

The report was commissioned by influential Pentagon defence adviser Andrew Marshall, who has held considerable sway on US military thinking over the past three decades. He was the man behind a sweeping recent review aimed at transforming the American military under Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld.

Much more at the site - pure comedy gold. The very idea of anthropogenic global warming is abject bullshit. Yes, we have been going through a warming trend - started in 1914, got going in the 1960's and is slowing down to a stop now. But Earth has been going through periods of warming and cooling for as long as we can tell from geologic record. This is nothing new and the idea that humans are causing a catastrophe is pure fscking hubris. This planet is bigger than we are. A lot bigger.

If the sea levels are going to rise so precipitously and so fast, why did ex-President Obama spend $14 Million dollars on a beachfront mansion in Martha's Vineyard?

Heh - climate experts

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Perfect:

20191003-climate.jpg

Our quiet sun

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The low activity of our sun has many consequences - not just cooler weather. From Spaceweather:

COSMIC RAYS ARE NEARING A SPACE AGE RECORD:
Solar Minimum is underway, and it's a deep one. Sunspot counts suggest it is one of the deepest minima of the past century. The sun's magnetic field has become weak, allowing extra cosmic rays into the solar system. Neutron monitors at the Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory in Oulu, Finland, show that cosmic rays are percentage points away from a Space Age record:

20191003-sodankyla.jpg

And the mainstream media?

* * * crickets * * *

More people die from cold than from heat - people need to know but... It does not fit the narrative.

POG - Piling on Greta

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Not the Hawaiian fruit drink (delicious stuff if a bit sweet). From American Thinker:

Sorry, Greta, even your fellow Swedes aren't buying the climate change claptrap anymore
Greta Thunberg, the Swedish child activist who doesn't know much but is very certain of what she's saying, is having her heyday in the U.S., fiercely putting on her "I won't eat those peas" face for the cameras, telling the U.S. Congress they're not trying hard enough, leading a giant global protest . today, and getting hailed as the child savior of the Earth.

Just one glitch here.  Her home nation of Sweden — yes, you read right: Sweden — isn't buying the global warming claptrap anymore.  Mark Morano over at Climate Depot has found a damning survey.

Her fifteen minutes are done. Under the bus with her. Next?

Lots more at the site - some good links. Greta is being managed by people who are raking in serious Benjamins with the climate scam. This is not grass-roots by any definition.

The temperature record in Australia

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An interesting look at the temperature in Australia - from Real Climate Science:

Australia Shows No Warming Since 1876
There are 25 locations in Australia with daily temperature data going back before 1890. This graph shows all 1,389,419 daily maximum temperature readings at those locations since 1876.

20190930-oz.jpg

The actual waveform is a 120 year long cycle. The hottest year was 1902 and the second hottest was 2018. Australia was cold during the 1970s  ice age scare, just like everywhere else.

The article also compares and contrasts this historical record with the Australian Bureau of Meteorology:

The real graph looks nothing like the fake graph generated by BOM, which uses hundreds of fragmented stations with short term records homogenized together into a meaningless hodgepodge of politically useful nonsense.

20190930-bom.jpg

A perfect example of cherry-picking your data to fit your agenda. Look at ANY historical weather record and you will find zero evidence of catastrophic temperature rise. We had the Modern Warm Period which started in 1914, got going in 1970 and is ending. Now, we are entering a cool period as our sun goes quiet.

The idea that us humans have anything to do with this (beyond a couple percent) is pure fscking hubris.

Our quiet sun

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Spaceweather takes note of our quiet sun:

2019 IS A DEEP SOLAR MINIMUM:
Today, the sun racked up its 198th spotless day of the year. So far in 2019, the sun has been blank 73% of the time. This is the same percentage as the year 2008--previously the least sun-spotty year of the Space Age. If Solar Minimum continues to deepen, 2019 will soon claim the undisputed throne of Space Age spotlessness, marking it as a century-class minimum in solar activity.

Sunspots are a measure of solar output. Low numbers = low output. This explains the record early snowfalls, the colder weather, the fact that Glacier National Park had to quietly remove a bunch of signage.

Looking at global cooling, not warming. Anyone who tells you differently is running on narrative and not facts.

Not just us - winter storms

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We got off easy - two clickable headlines:

Set some records - from the first link:

Over 9 inches of snowfall was recorded by the National Weather Service in Great Falls, Montana, on Saturday alone, an all-time record daily snowfall in September there. Its total of 18.8 inches since Saturday is an all-time autumn two-day snowstorm record, topping the previous record of 16.1 inches from Nov. 26-27, 2005, according to NOAA's ACIS database records dating to 1937. It is already the snowiest September in Great Falls, topping September 1934's 13.2 inches of snowfall.

Global warming anyone?

Snowfall

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Quite a bit earlier than usual - from Cliff Mass:

Early Snow Hits the Northwest
With cold air and plenty of moisture, an early snow has blanketed parts of our region....with convective cells even bringing temporary icing to Portland and vicinity. Blizzard conditions with winds gusting to 50 mph and feet of snow are hitting parts of Montana.

Some of the images this morning are downright...chilling.

Mission Ridge, at 4500 ft above Wenatchee, looks like it received just under a foot by 8 AM this morning.

20190929-mission.jpg

As far as I can tell, the roat to Artist Point is still open. That usually gets closed in October - last year was the 28th.

Piling on Greta

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Been piling on her recently because she and her sister are such self-centered, entitled and spoiled brats. Greta has let herself become a tool of a corporation promoting global warming as a way to make money for it's founders (friends of Al Gore). When she is no longer useful to these people, she will be discarded like a spent tissue.

Saw this on the web:

“You ruined my childhood.” (quote from her UN rant)

20190928-greta.jpg

Reminds me of Veruca Salt. Greta's parents need to be called out for their child abuse. They seem to have let her and her sister get away with anything they wanted to. They yielded to their manipulation and reinforced the idea that these children could get away with anything they wanted. There were no boundries of what is acceptable and what is not.

Child abuse plain and simple - a lot of fscking snowflakes out there. A lot of damage done.

Gale warning in effect

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Now this should be an interesting day - from weather.com:

Gale Warning for Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM PDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM PDT SUNDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * WIND AND WAVES...NORTHEAST 25 TO 35 KNOTS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES 4 TO 6 FEET. WINDS BECOMING 15 TO 25 KNOTS SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. &&

Zero sign of this as yet but the weather can change on a dime here. Planning to spend this afternoon at a heavily treed orchard so will keep an eye out.

A really well-written message - go and read the whole thing.

A Message for Children About Climate Change
Dear Children,

I’m sorry adults have frightened you about climate change and how it might affect your future. You might be less afraid if you knew some facts that adults intentionally do not explain to you. I’ll tell you here.

The news was once a source of real information, or so we thought. But in the modern world, the news people discovered they can make more money by presenting scary news regardless of whether it is true or not. Today, much of the news on the right and the left is opinion that is meant to scare you, not inform you, because scary things get more attention, and that makes the news business more profitable. The same is true for people who write books; authors often make books scary so you will buy them. Most adults know all the scariness is not real. Most kids do not. You just learned it.

Good basic facts - well worth reading for everyone.

November 2019

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Environment and Climate
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Watts Up With That?


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