Recently in Climate Category

If at first you do not succeed...

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First, the term of art was Global Warming. Then it morphed into a more general Climate Change. And now, this - from Legal Insurrection:

Green justice advocates may soon rebrand “Climate Change”
Green justice advocates and the political minions that cater to them may soon rebrand the phrase, “Climate Change.”

A new study, conducted by a specialty neurological research group, indicates the current term does not adequately gin-up angst in listeners.

New York City-based SPARK Neuro, a neuroanalytics company that measures emotion and attention, studied how participants responded to six terms — “climate crisis,” “environmental destruction,” “environmental collapse,” “weather destabilization,” “global warming” and “climate change.”

A total of 120 people — 40 Republicans, 40 Democrats and 40 independents — participated in the study, which measured the “emotional intensity” of responses to audio recordings of various controversial phrases, with each term inserted, like this example below:

“Sea levels will rise dramatically, to the point that many coastal cities will be submerged, as a result of [INSERT TERM].”

The electrical activity of the participants’ brains and skin was rated on a scale of zero to five — five being the strongest. Those results were then compared to a traditional survey for reference.

Two terms stood out from the pack: climate crisis and environmental destruction.

Spencer Gerrol, CEO of SPARK Neuro, indicated that generating strong emotion inspires people to act. It seems “climate change” and “global warming” are outdated and overused.

It does not adequately gin-up angst in listeners because the average listener does not believe that human-caused Global Warming exists. The scientific data sure do not show it. Global Warming is a political thing and not a scientific thing.

From the San Francisco Chronicle:

'Winter storm warning' issued for Sierra in mid-May
With a moisture-rich atmospheric river taking aim at Northern California, the National Weather Service issued a winter storm warning for the northern Sierra Nevada. It is in effect from Wednesday night through Friday morning.

A bit more:

"We do get storms in May but the strength of this storm is anomalous," said Brendon Rubin-Oster, a forecaster with the NWS's Sacramento office. "We're getting a winter caliber system in May."

When the storm reaches its height in intensity Wednesday night, the bull's eye will likely be centered over Yosemite and Tuolumne County, where 2 to 2.5 feet of snow could fall between Wednesday and Friday. Rubin-Oster warns Highway 120 through Yosemite National Park could see significant snow.

What are you going to believe - the output from some computer model or your eyes. The hype that we only have 12 years to "DO SOMETHING" is abject bullshit.

Cold weather

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Had to put on a jacket when working outside - overcast and 50's. From Cliff Mass:

A Wet Period Ahead for the U.S. West Coast
The first half of May has been generally dry and warm over the Pacific Northwest, but soon everything will change.

The second half of the month promises to be cool and wet in Washington and Oregon, with northern California swamped by highly unusual amounts of rain. As we shall see, this wet period has highly positive implications for the upcoming wildfire/smoke season.

More at the site. The ten-day forecast for here is mostly cloudy and high 50's / low 60's

So wrong on so many levels

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Education needs to be just that. Education is not indoctrination and conflating the two is child abuse.

From Nature:

Children can foster climate change concern among their parents
The collective action that is required to mitigate and adapt to climate change is extremely difficult to achieve, largely due to socio-ideological biases that perpetuate polarization over climate change. Because climate change perceptions in children seem less susceptible to the influence of worldview or political context, it may be possible for them to inspire adults towards higher levels of climate concern, and in turn, collective action. Child-to-parent intergenerational learning — that is, the transfer of knowledge, attitudes or behaviours from children to parents — may be a promising pathway to overcoming socio-ideological barriers to climate concern. Here we present an experimental evaluation of an educational intervention designed to build climate change concern among parents indirectly through their middle school-aged children in North Carolina, USA. Parents of children in the treatment group expressed higher levels of climate change concern than parents in the control group. The effects were strongest among male parents and conservative parents, who, consistent with previous research, displayed the lowest levels of climate concern before the intervention. Daughters appeared to be especially effective in influencing parents. Our results suggest that intergenerational learning may overcome barriers to building climate concern.

The full paper is paywalled so no word as to who funded this progressive garbage. The climate change people have no data backing them up. They have to resort to rhetoric.

Climate update - 12 seconds

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This is horrible - from the Babylon Bee:

Update: We Now Have Only 12 Seconds Left Until Climate Change Destroys The Planet
A new update issued by watchdog groups on climate change indicated this afternoon that we only have 12 seconds left until climate change destroys the planet.

We previously thought we had just 12 years, then 10 years, but the latest update indicates that we have well under a minute.

"The earth will be totally destroyed in the next, oh, 12 seconds," said Beto O'Rourke at a rally. "If you don't give the government a bunch of money and power, it will happen. Trust me."

"So hand over the cash, guys," he said. "Like, now. I'm super serious."

This tragic development means that humanity won't have time to correct climate change, and our writers probably won't even have time to finish thi

Needless to say, the Bee is a satire site.

From Los Angeles station KTLA:

Sierra Snowpack Is Measured at 188% of Average in Final Survey of the Year
California water officials say cities and farms can expect ample water supplies this summer after winter storms blanketed the Sierra Nevada, nearly doubling the snowpack average for this time of year.

The Department of Water Resources said Thursday the fifth and final survey at Phillips Station recorded 47 inches of snow depth and a snow water equivalent of 27.5 inches. That’s 188 percent of average for the location near Lake Tahoe.

And our Sun still remains quiet and very sunspot-free.

Looks like things are colder than usual - a few weather reports from Russia (Google Translate):

We beat records!
The Far East set the following minimum temperature records for April 22: the city of Svobodny (Amur Oblast) -10.6 (previous record: -8.9 in 2001). In Blagoveshchensk it was -7.5 degrees. The last record was recorded in 1937 and amounted to -7.1. The Jewish Autonomous Region is also with new records: in the village of Ekaterino-Nikolskoye -6.6 degrees, and the previous record was set in 1991 -6. On the European territory of Russia, the situation is also non-standard. Thanks to the anticyclone, the northern regions are well heated, and in the south the temperature is noticeably below normal. Here it is no higher than +15, and at night the frosts to -1… -6 were again noted. In Stavropol, a new record for the minimum temperature for April 22: the air has cooled to -2.2! The previous record was in 1993 -1.5 degrees.

Record cold Volga
IA "Meteonovosti" / 13:37 Sunday, April 21 anticyclone , which spreads over the southern half of the European territory, in the last days provide a record cold weather . The average daily air temperature is 4-6 degrees lower than the multi-year values. In a number of settlements of the Volga region, which has already been a day in a row, changes are made to instrumental weather observations .

Return of winter in Central Russia
In Central Russia, the last Sunday, April 14, was the coldest day since the beginning of the month. In the south of the Moscow region, in the Tula, Kaluga and Ryazan regions, the maximum temperature did not exceed +1.

The winter of the
The cold front was the culprit in the weather changes at the beginning of the week in Siberia and the Urals. The temperature in Yekaterinburg on the night of April 17 was a record low for these days, -10.4 degrees. And in the afternoon the temperature only approached zero, It was -1.2 degrees. On average, the day temperature almost 11 degrees was below the climatic norm. Moreover, spring spoiled the inhabitants of the Urals with the spring heat, in April the thermometer columns already reached 15..19 degrees. Moreover, a sharp cooling was accompanied by snow with blizzard, ice and gusts of wind.

And it is not just Russia - West Australia:

Good Friday cold blast in Albany brings April snow to WA for first time in 49 years


Snowfall and thunderstorms this weekend in some parts of Morocco


Another record snowfall, sunshine returns soon


Black winter came back! Snowfall was effective in many cities yağ Breaking news
While the spring weather was expected to come forward, the news of the snow started to come from many parts of the country. While Kars and Van, who had been living in the Black Winter for months, turned white again, many cities of the Central Anatolia Region encountered snow in April. Although it is closed in the season, it is stated that the ski slopes can be re-opened in Uludag where heavy snowfall continues.

Tell me again about that global warming theory...

Our quiet sun - cosmic rays

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Interesting article at NASA's Spaceweather:

A Perfect Storm of Cosmic Rays
Ten years ago, NASA reported a “perfect storm of cosmic rays.” During the year 2009, radiation peppering Earth from deep space reached a 50-year high, registering levels never before seen during the Space Age.

It’s about to happen again.

Ground-based neutron monitors and high-altitude cosmic ray balloons are registering a new increase in cosmic rays. The Oulu neutron monitor in Finland, which has been making measurements since 1964, reports levels in April 2019 only percentage points below the Space Age maximum of 2009:

Much more at the site. Another indication that our suns output is unusually low. Quiet sun = global cooling.
Here is the website for the Oulu Cosmic Ray Station

UPDATE - a perfect example of Quiet sun = global cooling. From the Detroit Free Press:

Snow expected in metro Detroit this weekend. We give up.
Enjoy the warm, dry weather this afternoon, because it's about to change.

Rain – possibly even snow –  is expected to start tonight and last into next week, according to the National Weather Service in White Lake.  Minor flooding is possible, the agency said.

Showers are expected to start Thursday after 5 p.m., becoming heavy at times, and last into Friday.

Rain and light snow is expected for Saturday night. 

What catastrophic warming?

Forecasting the weather is like herding cats - easy in the short term but things go awry in a short span of time. Some people have looked at this and determined the limit is two weeks - from the American Meteorological Society:

What Is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather?
Understanding the predictability limit of day-to-day weather phenomena such as midlatitude winter storms and summer monsoonal rainstorms is crucial to numerical weather prediction (NWP). This predictability limit is studied using unprecedented high-resolution global models with ensemble experiments of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF; 9-km operational model) and identical-twin experiments of the U.S. Next-Generation Global Prediction System (NGGPS; 3 km). Results suggest that the predictability limit for midlatitude weather may indeed exist and is intrinsic to the underlying dynamical system and instabilities even if the forecast model and the initial conditions are nearly perfect. Currently, a skillful forecast lead time of midlatitude instantaneous weather is around 10 days, which serves as the practical predictability limit. Reducing the current-day initial-condition uncertainty by an order of magnitude extends the deterministic forecast lead times of day-to-day weather by up to 5 days, with much less scope for improving prediction of small-scale phenomena like thunderstorms. Achieving this additional predictability limit can have enormous socioeconomic benefits but requires coordinated efforts by the entire community to design better numerical weather models, to improve observations, and to make better use of observations with advanced data assimilation and computing techniques.

In plain english, the outmost limit for accuracy is about two weeks.

Our cooling climate

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From Accuweather:

Chicago sees latest snowfall of season in more than 50 years
Spring arrived weeks ago in the Windy City, but then on Sunday winter made an abrupt return bringing significant snowfall to Chicago as well as places in Missouri, Indiana and Michigan.

Chicago's O'Hare Airport was whitened by 5.3 inches of snow on Sunday. That made April 14 one of the top-two snowiest days this late in the season. The snowiest day in the city's history from April 14 to early May is 5.4 inches of snow on April 16, 1961.

And 1961 was the time that scientists were noticing a cooling trend. We have passed through the Modern Warm period and getting back to the Sun's normal cycle.

Tip of the fedora to Kim DuToit for the link.

It's here - bomb cyclone

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Wrote about it two days ago - the forecasts were accurate and it is hitting hard. From AccuWeather:

'Historic springtime snowstorm' wallops Rockies, north-central US as it intensifies
Snow is coming down fast and furious in the Rockies and north-central U.S. and is expected to accumulate up to 30 inches in some pockets. Meanwhile, thunder and lightning are accompanying the intense snowfall in some areas.

The storm blasted parts of the West with heavy rain, heavy mountain snow, power-cutting winds and blowing dust on Tuesday with more on the way into Wednesday night. The early stages of the storm knocked out power to 50,000 in the Los Angeles area and kicked up dramatic dust storms in Nevada.

The already massive storm will continue to gain strength across the nation's heartland into Thursday, bringing everything from damaging winds to blizzard conditions, flooding rain and severe weather.

This is going to really hurt agriculture - stock up on staples because food prices are going to spike. That plus, there is a really good indication that we are headed for a major cooling trend.

From Watts Up With That:

Another “bomb cyclone” to hit the Midwest this week with heavy snow
A near-repeat of March’s “bomb cyclone” will bring up to 30 inches of snow this week to portions of Minnesota and South Dakota, with blizzard conditions and a threat of severe thunderstorms.

Roughly the same area that experienced flooding rains in March — and still trying to dry out enough to plant corn and soybeans — will see another round of heavy rain and heavy snow. The forecast location of the intense cyclone as of Thursday morning April 11 shows it taking a similar path to the record-setting March storm

Stock up on staples - this is going to be an expensive year for food.

Checked out the Infrared Weather Satellite image from UW - looks like the Pineapple Express broke up a bit and passed to the South of Puget Sound. Dodged that one.


It is going to rain here Sunday - got this heading out way: (Cliff Mass)


Putting some iron sulfate on the lawn today to kill my very abundant moss farm - some rain will be good to get it soaked in but it may rinse it out so a second application on Monday will be in order.

About that Global Warming

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A much touted example of the effects of global warming have been Greenland's glaciers which have been retreating during the Modern Warm Period. Our Earth orbits around a variable star and the Sun has been cooling off recently. This abstract from Nature Geoscience:

Interruption of two decades of Jakobshavn Isbrae acceleration and thinning as regional ocean cools
Jakobshavn Isbrae has been the single largest source of mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet over the last 20 years. During that time, it has been retreating, accelerating and thinning. Here we use airborne altimetry and satellite imagery to show that since 2016 Jakobshavn has been re-advancing, slowing and thickening. We link these changes to concurrent cooling of ocean waters in Disko Bay that spill over into Ilulissat Icefjord. Ocean temperatures in the bay’s upper 250 m have cooled to levels not seen since the mid 1980s. Observations and modelling trace the origins of this cooling to anomalous wintertime heat loss in the boundary current that circulates around the southern half of Greenland. Longer time series of ocean temperature, subglacial discharge and glacier variability strongly suggest that ocean-induced melting at the front has continued to influence glacier dynamics after the disintegration of its floating tongue in 2003. We conclude that projections of Jakobshavn’s future contribution to sea-level rise that are based on glacier geometry are insufficient, and that accounting for external forcing is indispensable.

Isbræ is Danish for glacier. The mid 1980s is right when the Modern Warm Period started. This is when we transitioned from worrying about global cooling to worrying about global warming.

Earth is cooling. All the data point to it.

Look up tonight

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Chance of aurora borealis - from Cliff Mass:

Potential Aurora Tonight!
One of the most extraordinary natural sights to behold is the aurora borealis and tonight and early Sunday morning, you might have a chance to see one in our region.

On Wednesday, there was a massive solar flare, followed by a coronal mass ejection (CME), on the sun. It takes a few days for electrons and protons associated with the CME to reach the earth's atmosphere, and in fact, it has JUST ARRIVED. This is evident from the latest planetary K index (a measure of the disturbance of Earth's magnetic field) form the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center.

Forecast is for partly cloudy so we will see...

All that snow - river levels rising

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A very graphic look at two local rivers - nothing as bad as what is happening now in Nebraska but still:



Larger than normal amounts of snow followed by warmer than normal weather.
No worries, just something to keep an eye on.

As it thaws

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Lots of snow has a definite downside - from Reuters:

Historic floods hit Nebraska after 'bomb cyclone' storm
Large parts of Nebraska and the U.S. Central Plains were underwater on Saturday after a late-winter “bomb cyclone” storm triggered historic flooding along the Missouri and Platte rivers, causing two deaths, tearing apart homes and swallowing roadways.

The National Weather Service predicted dangerous flooding would continue through the weekend in Nebraska and in south and west central Iowa, particularly along the Missouri River.

Some records being set - Mike Wight is a spokesman for the Nebraska Emergency Management Agency:

“We’re looking at 4, 5, 6, 7 feet above the highest it’s ever been,” Wight said.

And it is another day with zero sunspots. Explain that anthropogenic global warming theory again please...

Heat wave

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Got up to 56°F yesterday - from Cliff Mass:

March Heat Wave
Can you imagine temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s here around Puget Sound?

You won't have to --such temperatures will be widespread around western Washington on Monday and Tuesday.

The last day to get above 60 was January 11th (61 was the max). We will smash that number on Sunday.

Taking the van up to the farm today - should be a lot less snow on the ground.

The troubles are just starting - from The Weather Channel:

Hundreds Evacuated in Historic Flooding in Nebraska, Iowa as Swollen Waterways Threaten Dams, Levees
Flooding from heavy rain and a melting snowpack is threatening towns across the Midwest, swelling waterways to historic levels in places, compromising flood protections and triggering evacuations for hundreds of residents in Nebraska and Iowa.

Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds on Thursday signed an emergency disaster proclamation that allows state resources to be used in response to flooding in the state. Nebraska Gov. Pete Ricketts had issued an Emergency Declaration on Tuesday.

Just before 11 a.m. Thursday, the residents of Hornick in western Iowa were ordered to evacuate immediately because of a levee breach on the West Fork of the Little Sioux River.

"They gave us about 10 minutes, so you just grab the things you need the most," Catie Newman told the Des Moines Register.

The increase of cold weather and snowfall has a lot of repercussions beyond just the immediate weather.

And we are back to zero - sunspots

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From Spaceweather:


From Colorado Spring's The Gazzette:

More than 1,000 drivers stranded in Colorado Springs area, Gov. Polis declares state of emergency as bomb cyclone paralyzes Front Range
Snow driven by winds approaching 100 mph shut down schools, highways, air travel and businesses in the Pikes Peak region Wednesday and left more than 1,000 stranded in their cars awaiting rescue.

The rapidly intensifying storm — known as a bomb cyclone — caused whiteout conditions for drivers caught in its fury and prompted the governor to call out the National Guard and El Paso County to declare an emergency.

Officials pleaded with people to stay home and off the roads.

"The more people on the road, the higher likelihood of crashes happening today," the Colorado State Patrol warned on Twitter. "We are giving you complete permission, 100 percent guaranteed, no questions asked to STAY HOME TODAY."

This winter is one for the history books and there is every indication that this is the start of a trend that may last decades.

The winter that never ended

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The weather keeps getting better and better - from The Weather Channel:

Winter Storm Ulmer 'Bombs' Out, Becomes 'Bomb Cyclone'
A massive Plains storm became a bomb cyclone today, has already set new preliminary all-time low pressure records in a few locations, and will produce blizzard conditions and damaging winds into Thursday.

Meteorologists refer to a strengthening low as "bombing out" or undergoing bombogenesis if its minimum surface pressure drops by at least 24 millibars in 24 hours or less.

In Winter Storm Ulmer's case, its central pressure dropped from 994 millibars around 8 p.m. MDT Tuesday night, estimated by NOAA Weather Prediction Center meteorologist David Roth, to 970 millibars at 9 a.m. MDT Wednesday, meeting bombogenesis criteria in just over half the time.

This bomb cyclone has already tied or set three preliminary, unofficial all-time low pressure records in three locations.

Pueblo, Colorado, already set their preliminary, unofficial all-time record low pressure early Wednesday morning, according to the National Weather Service. Colorado state climatologist Russ Schumacher tweeted it was the lowest pressure on record there since at least 1950.

Roth, who tracks U.S. pressure records, also noted low pressure records were tied in Alamosa, Colorado, and smashed in Clayton, New Mexico.

Much more at the site. Wonder where Al Gore is now.

Climate change denier deniers - Apple

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Apple goes full SJW on an iPhone app that is skeptical about the current orthodoxy of man made global warming.
From The Daily Signal:

Geologist Accuses Apple of Political Bias in Removing App Countering Climate Alarmism
Political figures who support the so-called Green New Deal and other proposals to restrict carbon dioxide emissions are up against some “inconvenient facts” that Americans may access immediately through a smartphone application, a geologist and author says.

But there’s one big problem.

The app, called Inconvenient Facts, is available only to Android users through the Google Play Store. Since March 4, users of Apple’s iPhone no longer can access the app through the tech giant’s App Store.

Why is that?

Gregory Wrightstone, a geologist with more than three decades of experience, told The Daily Signal in an interview that he has his own opinion about what may have transpired inside Apple.

Wrightstone is the author of the book “Inconvenient Facts: The Science That Al Gore Doesn’t Want You to Know,” which served as the basis for the information available from the app.

He notes that former Vice President Al Gore, a leading proponent of the view that mankind’s activities propel dangerous climate change, is a board member of Apple.

Of course - the political narrative must be preserved and amplified at all costs. Can't have the proles seeing any cracks in the wall.

Downloading the app and will check it out. My library doesn't have it yet but I pre-reserved a copy (big waiting list). It is available at Amazon and is #297 in the Best Sellers list and #4 in Science and Mathematics.

This damned winter cold

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A two-fer - first from our own Cliff Mass:

Record-Breaking Cold in Eastern Washington
The cold that has been experienced in eastern WA since early February has been totally amazing. And unlike western WA they have had little relief the past week.

You will not believe the minimum temperatures this morning. Yakima got down to 7°F, with a number of locations around Ellensburg dropped to 2-3F.

Such temperatures are unusual this late in the season, as shown below at several sites in northeast Oregon and southeast WA.  Some of the daily low temperature records were smashed by 5-8F.  That is significant.

And it is not just the Pacific Northwest, from Texas' Laredo Morning Times:

Montana just endured one of the nation's most exceptional cold spells on record
There's a kind of cold that's legitimately dangerous. It can causes frostbite in minutes to unexposed skin. In parts of the Lower 48 states, such extreme cold is not uncommon, for a few days to at most a week.

But over the entire month of February and even into March, such exceptional, life-threatening cold never departed parts of Montana. Temperatures averaging 20 to 30 degrees below normal gripped huge areas in the state, as well as parts of the Dakotas.

These places are normally cold but this chill was unlike anything seen in the contiguous United States in decades, for both its intensity and its duration.

The February temperature departures from normal were stunning. Several major climate locations averaged 27 to 28 degrees below normal, which were the most extreme in the Lower 48 for a full month since January 1969, according to Alaska-based climatologist Brian Brettschneider.

Great Falls, Montana, was at the heart of it. The mercury didn't rise above zero on 11 days and dropped to zero or below on 24 nights. Only the first day of the month topped freezing. Its average February temperature finished 27.5 degrees below normal.

The punishing and unrelenting cold continued into March. On March 3, the low temperature tanked to a bone-chilling minus-32 in Great Falls. Combined with a high of minus-8, the day finished a whopping 50 degrees below normal. The city concluded its longest stretch on record below freezing on March 7.

Meanwhile, our sun is still very very quiet. One small sunspot cluster (AR2734) but it is fading and heading over the rim of the sun.

Some good news - weather

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From Cliff Mass:

FINALLY! Springtime Warmth Is Coming to the Northwest
Imagine 60 degree temperatures.

Think about the luxuriant warmth. The ability go outside in a short-sleeve shirt and be comfortable.

The chance to build an honest sweat while working in the garden or going for a run.

You won't have to imagine it soon.

Great news - looking at doing a bunch of work in the garden this year. I was at the food coop yesterday and they had the young salad onions for the first time. I look forward to these as a harbinger of spring. Was very happy to see them.

Clueless - from Toronto, Ontario's CTV News:

Obama in Calgary: Climate change chaos making politics more toxic
Former United States president Barack Obama called on global leaders to pay attention to the ways the world is rapidly transforming, urging action on climate change and wealth inequality in speeches in Western Canada on Tuesday.

Obama spoke first to a near-full arena in Calgary, home to several oil and gas company headquarters that are replete with empty office space due to a years-long industry downturn.

Geee - our oil and gas companies are doing really well after we got rid of the progressive President and elected someone who understands capitalism. Canada still has Trudeau at the helm. If they got rid of him, their oil and gas business (all their businesses) would boom.

He got around to global warming climate change

The crowd also clapped when Obama said there is indisputable science that the planet is getting warmer.

"At the current pace that we are on, the scale of tragedy that will consume humanity is something we have not seen in perhaps recorded history if we don't do something about it."

(cough)bullshit(cough) - a bit more:

Rising oceans will displace populations from coastal areas and climate change is also having an effect on the prevalence of insect-borne diseases, he said.

"Moose right now (have) to deal with tick-borne diseases that they didn't have to do 10, 15 years ago," Obama said. "I really like moose. I assume Canadians, you, do too."

So the warmer weather is going to promote the spread of disease? Not so fast.
From Paul Homewood at Not a lot of People Know That:

Paul Reiter’s Damning Assessment Of The IPCC
Prof Paul Reiter, one of the world’s leading experts in malaria, completely debunked this whole scare story in 2005, in a written submission to the Parliamentary Select Committee on Economic Affairs.

It is an old story, but many won’t be aware of it. It is worth revisiting it, since it revealed just how corrupt and thoroughly bankrupt the science surrounding climate change in general, and the IPCC in particular, had become.

This is his submission:

Memorandum by Professor Paul Reiter, Institut Pasteur; Paris
1. This evidence is presented to the Select Committee to provide a perspective on the role of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in compiling and assessing technical information.

2. I am a specialist in the natural history and biology of mosquitoes, the epidemiology of the diseases they transmit, and strategies for their control. My entire career, more than thirty years, has been devoted to this complex subject. My research has included malaria, filariasis, dengue, yellow fever, St Louis encephalitis and West Nile encephalitis, and has taken me to many countries in Africa, the Americas, Asia, Europe and the Pacific. I spent 21 years as a Research Scientist for the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). At present, I am a Professor at the Institut Pasteur in Paris, and am responsible for a new unit of Insects and Infectious Disease.

Dr. Reiter establish his (very major) bona fides and writes this (an excerpt):

7. All this occurred in a period—roughly from the mid-15th century to the early 18th century—that climatologists term the "Little Ice Age". Temperatures were highly variable, but generally much lower than in the period since. In winter, the sea was often frozen for many miles offshore, the King could hold parties on the frozen Thames, there are six records of Eskimos landing their kayaks in Scotland, and the Viking settlements in Iceland and Greenland became extinct.

8. Despite this remarkably cold period, perhaps the coldest since the last major Ice Age, malaria was what we would today call a "serious public health problem" in many parts of the British Isles, and was endemic, sometimes common throughout Europe as far north as the Baltic and northern Russia.

The memorandum is very long but it explains in detail that temperature has little or nothing to do with disease spread. The idea that warming temperatures can influence the coverage of a disease or a creature has no basis in fact.

The memorandum can be found in full here: Memorandum by Professor Paul Reiter

Aaaaaand - we have a sunspot

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First sunspot for 33 days - AR2734

Of the 65 days in 2019, 48 have been sunspot-free.

Cold weather coming.

Scott Adams on climate change

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His podcast here: Episode 439 PART2 Scott Adams: Talking to Dr. Shiva About Climate Change

His talking points:

    • Multi-dimensional problems can’t be reduced to a single variable like CO2
    • People don’t understand math and physics, they’re being bamboozled
      • CO2 doubled already, temp should be up 4 degrees, per models
      • The models are NOT supported by the data
      • Actual temperature increase has only been half degree
    • Scientists are keeping quiet about climate change model problems
      • Climate change is BS, the data confirming BS is overwhelming
      • Grant money ONLY exists for those who believe and promote the climate change hoax

All true - yet another case of narrative over actual numbers.

More global warming - Colorado

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From Denver CBS affiliate:

Denver Weather: Coldest Early March Temps In Nearly 60 Years
Arctic cold will grip the eastern half of Colorado today and tonight with some areas seeing the coldest temperatures for early March in nearly 60 years according to the National Weather Service. Many places on the northeast plains fell below zero Sunday morning including Denver International Airport with a low of -6 degrees.

And Spaceweather has us at 33 days without a sunspot - 75% of the whole of 2019

About those species extinctions

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Hint - as much as they want it to be, it is not global warming causing it. From the Ecological Society of America:

Alien versus native species as drivers of recent extinctions
Native plants and animals can rapidly become superabundant and dominate ecosystems, leading to claims that native species are no less likely than alien species to cause environmental damage, including biodiversity loss. We compared how frequently alien and native species have been implicated as drivers of recent extinctions in a comprehensive global database, the 2017 International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List of Threatened Species. Alien species were considered to be a contributing cause of 25% of plant extinctions and 33% of animal extinctions, whereas native species were implicated in less than 5% and 3% of plant and animal extinctions, respectively. When listed as a putative driver of recent extinctions, native species were more often associated with other extinction drivers than were alien species. Our results offer additional evidence that the biogeographic origin, and hence evolutionary history, of a species are determining factors of its potential to cause disruptive environmental impacts.

There 'ya go. Knew it all along:


Cold weather in Canada

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From Canada's Global News:

Alberta man’s bowl of noodles freezes, suspends fork mid-air in frigid temperatures
An Alberta man has a whole new take on grabbing food from the frozen aisle.

Jonathan Scholes, who lives in Calgary, decided to demonstrate just how frigid it has been this past month by leaving a bowl of hot, boiling noodles outside.

His video showed noodles and a fork suspended in the air, hardened in place at -30 C on Feb. 10.

According to Scholes, it took about 10 to 15 minutes for the noodles to freeze solid.

This past February was one for the record books for many cities across Canada, including Calgary, Edmonton, Vancouver and Winnipeg.

Here's a screen-grab from the video:

20190304-noodles.jpgThat is cold...

Snowfall in Oregon

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Heavy snowfalls caused some buildings to collapse - from the Roseburg, OR The News-Review:

Weight of snow crushes buildings
Tuffie Curtis Jr. of Sutherlin thought losing power in his temporary home at Techbuilt Inc. was a challenge already, until he heard a sound and discovered snow had brought down half of the building.

Techbuilt is one of the most notable buildings to sustain damage from this week’s storms. Others that were damaged include the cafeteria at Douglas High School, greenhouses at Norm Lehne Garden and Orchards and Kruse Farms, and a barn at Blue Heron Vineyards.

“I was there when part of it collapsed on Monday,” Curtis said. “I wasn’t expecting the building to collapse. It scared me when it made that big of a racket.”

Techbuilt, which builds roof trusses, was registered with the Oregon secretary of state’s office in 1991, almost 27 years ago. Curtis and Sutherlin Emergency Manager Dennis Riggs said the building has been around for at least 30 years.

The collapsed building was home to a company that manufactured roof trusses?

“(The trusses) weren’t built by us,” Curtis said. “They held for 30 years.”

That global warming is nasty stuff...

Talking about the weather

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One whole month - our sun

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From NASA's Spaceweather:

There are 28 days in February. This year, all 28 of them were spotless. The sun had no sunspots for the entire month of Feb. 2019. This is how the solar disk looked every day:


The last time a full calendar month passed without a sunspot was August 2008. At the time, the sun was in the deepest Solar Minimum of the Space Age. Now a new Solar Minimum is in progress and it is shaping up to be similarly deep. So far this year, the sun has been blank 73% of the time--the same as 2008. 

Solar Minimum is a normal part of the solar cycle. Every ~11 years, sunspot counts drop toward zero. Dark cores that produce solar flares and CMEs vanish from the solar disk, leaving the sun blank for long stretches of time. These minima have been coming and going with regularity since the sunspot cycle was discovered in 1859.

However, not all Solar Minima are alike. The last one in 2008-2009 surprised observers with its depth and side-effects. Sunspot counts dropped to a 100-year low; the sun dimmed by 0.1%; Earth's upper atmosphere collapsed, allowing space junk to accumulate; the pressure of the solar wind flagged while cosmic rays (normally repelled by solar wind) surged to Space Age highs. All these things are happening again.

A brief note - when they say that the sun has dimmed by 0.1%, this is in the visible light part of the spectrum. The ultraviolet and infrared vary by about 3%. This is huge and even the 0.1% change in visible light is larger than all other contributors to the Earth's climate (natural radioactivity, volcanoes, etc...).

The numbers from their website:

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 29 days
2019 total: 44 days (73%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)

We are in for some cold weather despite what Al Gore and the other rumor mongers are saying.

The weather in Arizona

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Setting records - from the Flagstaff, AZ FOX News affiliate:

Winter storm brings record snowfall to parts of Arizona
A winter storm sweeping across the Southwest has set records in Arizona with heavy snowfall in the high country and significant rain in the desert.

Flagstaff on Thursday had a new single-day snowfall record of 35.9 inches at the airport, breaking the city's previous mark of 31.0 inches set in 1915.

What global warming?

Cold weather

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A lot of it going around these days:

Brundage Mountain sees record snowfall in February, topping four feet in the last week

Record snowfall hammers Central Oregon - Biggest February snowstorm in 118 years

More roof collapses add urgency to Quebec's warning to building owners

How cold is it? Phoenix shatters 122-year-old temperature record

And that Las Vegas dusting?

CNN reported it as a dusting:

The hottest show in Las Vegas right now is the snow
Oh, the things you can do in Sin City. You can gamble, hit up an all-you-can eat buffet or catch a show.

But, this month at least, the best show just might be outside.

A winter storm working its way through the Southwest dusted Las Vegas with half an inch of snow Wednesday, a record for this date, according to the National Weather Service.

The video is showing a lot more than a half inch. Wonder if the media is starting to get worried about the global warming narrative...

WTF - snow

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Went out to unpack the Highlander and it was snowing. Very lightly and it was not sticking but seriously WTF?

Oregon is digging out from their massive snowfall - 18,300 customers without power.

Happy International Polar Bear Day

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From the website:

PBI's International Polar Bear Day is February 27th!
Every year, this global event draws attention to the challenges polar bears face in a warming Arctic—and how we each can help.

Sea ice loss from climate change is the single biggest threat to polar bears. No matter where you live or what you do, you can play a role in turning this around.

Using less energy produced by carbon-based fuels reduces our carbon emissions and can slow and even stop global warming, in turn saving the sea ice that polar bears require to efficiently hunt their seal prey. Without sea ice, polar bears will decline in range and numbers, making them vulnerable to extinction in the future.

But it’s not just about polar bears. The recent U.N. report on climate change outlines devastating impacts for people—from droughts to floods to massive storms—unless we greatly reduce carbon emissions.

Sigh - turns out to be yet another non-scientific advocacy group shilling for the anthropogenic global warming crowd. The arctic ice is at record levels and the polar bears are doing wonderfully - there is zero need to "save them". From two years ago - the Global Warming Policy Foundation:

On the occasion of International Polar Bear Day, the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) is calling on the U.S. Administration to re-assess the ‘endangered species’ status of polar bears.

On May 15, 2008, the U.S Fish and Wildlife Service listed the polar bear as threatened under the Endangered Species Act. The listing is based on the assumption that loss of sea ice threatens and will likely continue to threaten polar bear habitat.

In a GWPF video released today, Dr Susan Crockford, a Canadian wildlife expert, documents the latest findings about rising polar bear numbers.

In 2005, the official global polar bear estimate was about 22,500.

Since 2005, however, the estimated global polar bear population has risen by more than 30% to about 30,000 bears, far and away the highest estimate in more than 50 years.

The arctic ice cap is larger than usual this year and is still growing.

We have Fake News. We also have Fake Science. Both are driven by agenda and narrative and have nothing to do with truth or reality. All of the scare-mongering is spewed by people using tweaked computer models for their numbers. These simpletons do not go outside and take a measurement.

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