Recently in Climate Category

Two highway alerts - WA State

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SR = State Route = major highway but not an interstate.

    • WSDOT ALERT: SR 14 - CLOSED in both directions at milepost 55.0 due to a debris slide – 7-miles east of Carson, WA
    • WSDOT ALERT: SR 4 - CLOSED in both directions between mileposts 13.0-13.7, due to flooding – 4-miles west of Grays River

These are both in the South of the state near the border with Oregon.  This is where the Atmospheric River was forecast to hit and hit it did. The Columbia River is not showing that much of an increase but its water flow is tightly regulated by the dams. Keeping an eye on this - not done yet...

Of course, Cliff has more:

Heavy Precipitation and the Mid-Winter Water Update for Our Region
As promised, a potent atmospheric river has hit our region, with very heavy precipitation on the upwind (windward) sides of regional terrain.

Let be begin by showing you a satellite-based view of total atmospheric moisture from late yesterday. Purple and red are the highest amounts. Satellites can sense water vapor content based on the emission of radiation by water vapor.

You can see the plume of moisture heading into us from the southwest. Amazingly, our moisture plume can be traced back thousands of miles to the western Pacific near the Philippines and Indonesia: the region of the warmest water on the planet, known as the warm pool.

Much more at the site.

Look what the weather fairies brought for me today.  From local Weather Rock-star Cliff Mass:

A Strong Atmosphere River Approaches
The most powerful atmospheric river of the season so far is now imminent and will reach our coast later tomorrow (Monday).

Atmospheric rivers are fascinating creatures. Why does atmosphere concentrate water vapor into fast moving narrow currents? And why do such currents provide such bountiful precipitation and are so optimal for promoting floods and landslides? These questions are among those that I and others have researched over the past decades and pretty much understand.

Below is a graphic showing the key parameter that characterizes atmosphere rivers, something called Integrated Water Vapor Transport (IVT),that is forecast for Monday night at 10 PM. IVT is essentially the magnitude of the water vapor being moved by the atmospheric. Mathematically, water vapor constant times wind speed.

In this figure, the blue areas are locations with very high values of IVT (over 800 in the units shown)


Looks like Portland and Southwest WA will get hit the most but we will certainly get wet up here. Looks actually OK for moving this afternoon - it will hit here late today/early tomorrow. Got another one coming in Wednesday morning. The fun never stops around here...

Fun times - local weather

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Ho. Li. Crap. - from Cliff Mass:

An Intense Front, Strong Winds, Heavy Precipitation, Flooding and Big Waves: The Northwest Will Be Hit By Everything
Today will offer something for every meteorological taste, except for sunny and warm.

The front page of the National Weather Service's web page is lit up with almost every imaginable meteorological warning and advisory (see below). High wind warnings, storm warnings, winter weather advisory, high surf advisory, flood warnings, and more.

Been pretty hairy out there. Lots of wind. 74 out in our local area3,600 for Puget Sound Electric.   69 in Oregon.   About 3,350 in British Columbia.  This is not the first storm of the season and the first one usually shakes down anything that can cause an outage.  By now, power is pretty much bulletproof. The mighty Stillaguamish has peaked but it is still raining so there should be another peak as the groundwater percolates in.


Fun times indeed.

Oh joy - more rain

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More rain in epic quantities - from IBM's

Special Weather Statement until FRI 1:45 PM PST

Affected Area
Admiralty Inlet Area


Rainfall of 3 to 10 inches over much of the lowlands during the past 18 days has increased soil moisture to high levels across western Washington. Heavy rainfall of 1 to 8 inches is expected Friday through Sunday. This amount of rain will put extra pressure on soil instability, leading to an increased threat of landslides.

That is deluge territory.  Looking at the chart for the Mighty Stilly in Arlington:


Right now it's about 3.7 times normal (little triangles).  See what happens in the next few days.  This is another Pineapple Express.

Wild weather

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North of here is getting snow, south of here is getting high temperatures. From Seattlle station KOMO:

Wild storm brings heavy rains, snow, damaging winds and record heat around Puget Sound
A strong warm front brought a wild day of weather across Western Washington on this first day of winter Monday, complete with record springtime warmth, record rains with widespread urban street flooding, strong winds, and lowland snowfall(???) -- all in the same region!

Heavy rains caused widespread flooding of local roads in the Puget Sound area, with snow snarling traffic in the far northern reaches of the state, and wind toppling trees in the South Sound.

In Lynnwood, "widespread flooding" was occurring over major roadways in the area, including 44th Ave. West.

And to the North?

Meanwhile, on the north side of the storm, the system is drawing in cooler air from British Columbia making for a more traditional winter entrance along the Northern Olympic Peninsula -- where it was snowing around Port Angeles and across much of Whatcom County and the San Juan Islands.

And the temperatures?

Seattle warmed to 59 degrees, smashing the record high of 56 degrees set in 2005 with nary a peek of sun to be had. It reached 60 in Tacoma and 61 in Puyallup and Renton(!!!).

No lightning. Convergence zones usually bring lightning. This area is still just a couple hundred out.  Puget Sound Electric has just under 12,000 outages, Oregon, 6,200 and BC Hydro continues to bring it home with 72,300 household outages. A dark and stormy night indeed.

Who ordered this? Snow.

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Nothing here yet but it is snowing up North.

From the WS DOT traffic came for the Blaine Peace Arch at the Canadian border:


Cliff Mass has more: Superfront Brings Snow to Western Washington in Unusual Conditions

Couple hundred households without power in this area. Puget Sound Electric has about 7,900 outages, Oregon, 1,500 and BC Hydro takes home the brass ring with over 62,000 household outages.

Today's wind storm

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Not as strong as they had forecast - here are the conditions from about an hour ago - National Weather Service:

Looks like Vancouver Island is going to get hit and hit hard.  From Cliff Mass:

A Meteorological "Bomb" Will Hit Northern Vancouver Island On Tuesday
In meteorology we have a name for midlatitude storms that intensify explosively. Such storms, known as meteorological bombs, occur when the central low pressure of a storm drops at least 24 hPa in twenty four hours. (A hPa is a unit of pressure, also known as a millibar.)

The forecast models are now emphatic that such explosive development will occur tonight and tomorrow over the eastern Pacific, with the resulting intense low pressure center headed for the northern tip of Vancouver Island.

Take a look at the latest forecast for Tuesday at 11 AM shown below: a 961 hPa low center! Wow.

One of the deepest lows to approach our region in years. Our typical low center dropx to around 990 hPa and the greatest storm of all...the Columbus Day Storm of 1962 was 955 hPa.

Ho. Li. Crap. Calling for gusts in the San Juan's. Batten down the hatches - here we go again.

A mighty wind - Oregon

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An interesting shift in the wind.  South of Eugine is getting plastered. Compare the two outage maps - from 90 minutes ago:


And now:


The linemen from Pacific Power are doing their usual excellent work restoring service but there is a brand new cluster of over 6,000 outages.  What happened there?

The power just "bumped" here - heading out for a dog walk, some coffee and see what they day brings.

The winds are here - Oregon

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Looks like the projected windstorm is hitting further South than was originally forecast - Oregon is getting pummeled with 8,387 customers out. Here is a map of the power outages:


So far, the other utilities are fine with only a small number of outages: Puget Sound Electric, Snohomish PUD, BC Hydro

Lots of rain/cold/snow to come.

From the WA State Department of Transportation:

Chinook and Cayuse passes closed for the season due to heavy snow
The gates to State Routes 410 and 123 inside Mount Rainier National Park, including Chinook and Cayuse passes, are closed for the season after heavy snow and a forecast of more to come.

These routes closed temporarily Tuesday night, Nov. 10, due to deteriorating travel conditions and a 14-vehicle collision, which included commercial vehicles that are not allowed to travel through the park.

After an assessment of the roads and the upcoming forecast, Washington State Department of Transportation, in coordination with Mount Rainier National Park, made the decision to keep State Route 410/Chinook Pass and State Route 123/Cayuse Pass closed for the winter.

Forcast is for a cold wet one - great for the skiers and boarders.  A strong La Nina this year.

Prayers going out to the Philippines

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From GCaptain:

Philippines Evacuates 1 Million As Super Typhoon Goni Approaches
Officials have evacuated almost a million residents in the southern part of the Philippines’ main island of Luzon as a category 5 storm – the world’s strongest this year – makes landfall on Sunday.

Super Typhoon Goni, with 215 kph (133 miles) sustained winds and gusts of up to 265 kph (164 mph), will bring violent winds and strong rains, state weather and disaster officials said.

They get about 20 typhoons each year but this is an exceptionally large one. Luzon accounts for about 50% of the total Philippine GDP.  Had the great pleasure of visiting there for a few days during a visit to China and Taiwan in the 1980's Did not stay long but met some genuinely wonderful and friendly people. Would love to visit there again. Beautiful place too.

Who ordered this? Local weather

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First, from the National Weather Service:

Freeze Watch for Island County, WA

WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures of 27 to 32 degrees possible. Coldest temperatures expected away from urban areas.

WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Washington.

WHEN...From late Saturday night through Sunday morning.

IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

Raining and cold right now - was gloriously clear last night but the rain moved in around 4AM and has not let up. Supposed to be nice and clear tomorrow - lots of radiative cooling.

And now, I ran into this little bundle of joy - from

Gale Warning from FRI 9:00 PM PDT until SAT 1:00 PM PDT
Affected Area: East Entrance U. S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca and Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands


WHAT...Northeast winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing Friday night to 30 to 40 kt.

WHERE...East Entrance U. S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca and Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

WHEN...For the Gale Warning, from 9 PM this evening to 1 PM PDT Saturday. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 7 AM this morning to 9 PM PDT this evening.

IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

Happy happy joy joy

A bit of rainfall

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From the mighty Stillguamish river:


Note that the 92 year running average is just over 600 cu Ft/second and it is now 8,000 cu Ft/second. A bit of an increase if you ask me...

Our climate warriors

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So true - pathetic bunch of wankers:


Our interesting (and very cool) sun

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Been a lot cooler than usual.  Looks like the Modern Warm Period is ending its 100 year run. But... Something interesting is happening.

Cooler? Fewer sunspots.  Sunspots are a good proxy for solar output. The more sunspots, the hotter the sun and the warmer our Earth.  This affects the Martian Ice Caps too so it is not just this planet. Last year, we had a record year of low sunspot numbers with 281 days without sunspots (or 77% of the year). To find a year with more blank suns, you have to go all the way back to 1913 (311 days).  This year, we are currently at 190 days - 71% - so it is not likely that we will beat this record (96 days left in the year so we would need to have 91 of them be sunspot-free to tie) but this is still a very low number.

What we are starting to see is an increased Planetary K-Index  This is a measurement of radio flux from the sun and is independent of sunspot activity.  The K-Index impacts the earth directly as it is a measurement of the flux that gives us the Northern (or Southern) lights. Usually, it has been 0 - 1 - sometimes 2.  Now, it has been hitting 4.  The scale is logarithmic so 3 is ten times 2, 4 is ten times 3, etc...  This is causing some beautiful aurora borealis in the arctic.  It needs to be up to 6 and above to get reliable aurora in these latitudes. From right now:


Some interesting times.  Got a load of firewood laid in last spring so it is nice and cured.  Had a small fire yesterday and it was delicious. Warmed the house up with just a few logs. Thinking that I am going to need every stick this year. Had some left over last year.  We will see...

The second tranche of rainfall

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Made its way into the mighty Stillaguamish River at Arlington.  Notice that the scale on the left has changed from yesterday:


4000 was the scale maximum yesterday, they bumped it up to 7000 for today. Cubic feet per second. A lot of water. Some nice weather moving in over the next couple of days.

We have rain

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The mighty Stilliguamish River - a flow gauge near Arlington:


It takes a day or so for the rainfall to travel to the rivers so the current (met. humor) deluge will show up in a day or so. Second tranche.

Still no lightning. Dagnabit - they promised us lightning...

The autumn rains

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Gonna get wet - from Cliff Mass (note: this was written Tuesday evening - tomorrow=today):

Heavy Rain and the Beginning of Autumn
Autumn began at 6:30 AM this morning and the atmosphere is clearly watching the calendar.

Tomorrow will bring the first of a series of wet weather systems, each associated with a potent atmospheric river, that will bring as much as TEN inches of precipitation to the northern Cascades and Olympics.

As a result, wildfire season in Washington State will be coming to an abrupt close.

Precipitation will be heaviest during two periods, one tomorrow and the other on Saturday, when atmospheric rivers--narrow currents of large water vapor values--will make landfall on our coast.

And we are then going to be hit by an atmospheric river. Not our usual Pineapple Express but a river none the less:

Even more impressive is the atmospheric river on Saturday is serious!  Fascinating how moisture is concentrated into such narrow "atmospheric rivers".  I will explain why in a future blog.


Ho. Li. Crap. Staring down the barrel of a deluge.  The house is snug, good roof and got some nice raingear. Got firewood laid in for this winter and lots of food in storage. Life is good.

Clean air this morning

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A great improvement. Had quite the downpour last night - raining buckets for about 45 minutes. Woke up able to see the mountains so visibility of well over 30 miles.

From Cliff Mass:

Finally.... Smoke Relief for the Northwest
As the models have been signaling for days, air quality over western Oregon and Washington has improved dramatically over the past 24 h, with much of the region enjoying relatively clean air.  Clean air is surging over the Cascades and should soon displace the smoky air over the NW side of WA and northern Idaho.

Good news - now, all we need is a nice Indian Summer to cap 2020 and I will be happy.

Good news from Cliff Mass

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Waking up to some good news for a change - from Seattle meteorologist Cliff Mass:

The End is in Sight
We can finally see forward to the end of this terrible smoke event over western Washington and Oregon.

But first let me show you something that will impress. Below is a composite MODIS weather satellite image for yesterday, a picture that shows West Coast smoke extended over the entire continent. In New York or DC this morning, people will view a hazy sky and a weakened sun from the West Coast fires; in fact, the smoke extended well into the Atlantic.

More at the site - a few more days of this and then some relief. Some relief by Saturday and an end to the smoke around the 22nd (Tuesday).

And here we go again - Hurricane Sally

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Can't get a break - from One America News Network:

Hurricane Sally Makes Landfall On Ala. Coast
Hurricane Sally made landfall on the Gulf Shores of Alabama after re-strengthening to a Category Two hurricane.

Meteorologists confirmed the storm picked up force Tuesday night into Wednesday morning and warned its effects will be felt along the gulf coast. Winds of up to 105 miles-per-hour were measured during the night.

Hurricane Laura was just two weeks ago. A bad season. Not the worst by far but still, not good.

Great news for skiers - La Niña

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From Meteorologist Scott Sistek at Seattle station KOMO:

A sight for sore (and dry) eyes: Forecasters officially declare La Niña is here!
As our long, late summer dry stretch now encroaches into the second week of September, there is some good news for those who prefer a rainy day around here: La Niña is officially here!

NOAA forecasters declared a La Niña Advisory Thursday indicating that water temperatures in the central Pacific Ocean have now met the three-month threshold of being at least a half-degree cooler than normal (-0.9 degrees C in the latest report.)


La Niña winters are good news for not only rain fans, but skiers, snowboarders and water managers. Typically as we get into late fall and into the winter, we'll see a frequent pattern where the jet stream carries cooler air from Alaska and B.C. down into our region while providing plenty of moisture. That keeps snow levels down and mountain snowfall plentiful usually leading to an above-average snowpack.

Where I used to live (and still have my store) depends on sking at Mt. Baker for a lot of our business revenue. This year was a total bust as the skiing was poor and then the Wuhan Flu shut down a lot of the park visitation/camping/hiking (the other major driver). Hope things start lurching toward normalcy.


Smoke update - Cliff Mass

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Cliff has an update to the wildfire conditions and weather forecasts on his blog:

Smoke Has Caused Temperature Forecasts to Go Crazy Plus An Update
Have you taken a look at the temperature forecasts on your favorite smartphone app or online service?

Most are predicting temperatures that are crazy warm by as much as 15-20F!
Yet, the National Weather Service forecasts are reasonable. Why?

Before I explain, let's review what is going on right now.

The latest satellite image shows an area of deeper smoke has moved northward over western Washington. Smoke has also moved into eastern Washington. Only the north Cascades is in the clear.

At low levels, marine air and low cloud have pushed into portions of western Washington. With more smoke aloft, solar radiation will decline over western Washington today, providing an infernal murk that is a bit depressing.

Much more at the site. Cliff shows a screen-cap from the PM2.5 Air Quality Index - a really good resource. Here is a link to their website. You can zoom and move all around the USA. Great tool.

Things to come? From this map: PM2.5 Air Quality Index (a great resource)




Salmon-colored sunset tonight but gonna get worse tomorrow. Got the air filter running.
I feel sorry for the poor people in Portland tonight - got to be miserable.

Joy in the offing - smoke

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Got a link to this website in an email from the State Department of Emergency Management:

Smoke Alert!
There is a super-massive body of smoke moving over Southwestern Washington.  This smoke from Oregon and California is expected to impact Western Washington, the Columbia Basin, and even Spokane as it moves overhead.  Not much smoke has mixed down to the surface yet, but smoke forecasts show Unhealthy or worse levels starting tonight on the Peninsula and then through the I-5 Corridor. The Columbia River Gorge region is expected to be Unhealthy or worse tomorrow morning.  Smoke continues to be a problem in Central Washington and in the north Cascades as well because of our own fires.  Look for a more detailed forecast this afternoon.

20200910-GOES0900.jpgImage from the GOES Weather Satellite at 9AM this morning.

Cliff Mass has some more information:

Major Air Quality Threat For Puget Sound Sound and Western Washington
There is the potential for a major degradation of air quality over Puget Sound, a threat serious enough that vulnerable folks should be prepared.

Specifically, it is looking increasingly likely that some of the dense smoke produced by the fires in western Oregon will move northward and northeastward into western Washington, producing a profound degradation of air quality.

Potentially as bad or worse than we experienced in 2017 and 2018.

Much more at the site - the forecasts for late Saturday and Sunday look very very bad. My little island is smack in the center of the worst of it. Moving the dust filter from the garage into the bedroom and adding another filter.


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Two videos - the first one is yesterday's dust storm in Eastern Washington, the seccond one is an early snowfall in Yellowstone National Park.

From Live Storms Media:

And Yellowstone - also Live Storms Media:

Unseasonably early for snow there - global cooling anyone? Quiet sun?

Woke up to a salmon-colored sunrise - smoke and ash from the wildfires.

Hurricane Laura - some images

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Two videos from Brett Adair at Live Storms Media:

Brett also has this video from Lake Charles Regional Airport - sad to see the airplanes so damaged.

Here is one from Reuters:

Hurricane Laura - update

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She is now CAT3 CAT4 - from The Weather Channel:

Hurricane Laura Strengthening and Is a Category 4; Catastrophic Strike Ahead Near Louisiana and Texas Border
At a Glance

    • Laura has rapidly intensified into a Category 4 as it approaches landfall.
    • Laura will make landfall Wednesday night into early Thursday near the border between Louisiana and Texas.
    • Catastrophic storm surge and damaging winds will affect areas near where Laura makes landfall.
    • Storm surge could penetrate as much as 30 miles inland in southwest Louisiana.
    • Laura is also an inland flood risk as far north and east as Arkansas and the Ohio and Tennessee valleys.
    • Isolated tornadoes are also expected from Laura.

Not unexpected and not anything outside the norm for this time of year. Still...

Hurricane Laura

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Looks like CAT3 - Key Messages from NOAA:

Key Messages:

    1. Unsurvivable storm surge with large and destructive waves will cause catastrophic damage from Sea Rim State Park, Texas, to Intracoastal City, Louisiana, including Calcasieu and Sabine Lakes. This surge could penetrate up to 30 miles inland from the immediate coastline. Only a few hours remain to protect life and property and all actions should be rushed to completion.
    2. Hurricane-force winds are expected tonight in portions of the hurricane warning area from San Luis Pass, Texas, to west of Morgan City, Louisiana, with catastrophic wind damage expected where Laura's eyewall makes landfall. Hurricane-force winds and widespread damaging wind gusts will spread well inland across portions of eastern Texas and western Louisiana early Thursday.
    3. Widespread flash flooding along small streams, urban areas, and roadways is expected to begin this afternoon into Thursday from far eastern Texas, across Louisiana and Arkansas. This will also lead to minor to isolated moderate freshwater river flooding. The heavy rainfall threat and localized flash and urban flooding potential will spread northeastward into the middle-Mississippi, lower Ohio and Tennessee Valleys Friday night and Saturday.

Keeping them in my prayers. Fortunately, the Texas government is a lot better prepared than we had in New Orleans with Katrina.

Hurricane Laura

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Turning into a major hurricane. From the National Hurricane Center's twitter feed:

Another round of flooding is going to hit China next week. From the South China Morning Post:

China on alert for Yangtze River flooding as storms close in
Heavy rain is expected across China’s southwest, northwest and northeast in the next three days, raising flood risks and pressure on dams, weather forecasters have warned.

The Ministry of Water Resources urged local authorities to be on alert, particularly along the upper reaches of the Yangtze River and the middle reaches of the Yellow, Hai, Songhua and Liao rivers.

The National Meteorological Centre said Sichuan province in the country’s southwest would be particularly hard hit, with up to 300mm (11.8 inches) of rain forecast for Monday.

Here is the video accompanying the article - two more good videos as well as some photos at the site:

Nice people, asshoe government. This is very unusual weather. Normally, this is their rainy season but the intensity and duration is beyond previous bounds.

From The Weather Channel:

Tropical Storm Laura and Tropical Depression Fourteen: Track the Storms
For the first time since the Great Depression, it's possible that two tropical systems could make landfall in the mainland United States at virtually the same time. There will be a lot to keep track of, so bookmark this landing page as your go-to for important information and maps on both tropical systems.

Tropical Storm Laura
Tropical Storm Laura will affect the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands as a tropical storm with rain and gusty winds by this weekend. This system may then head toward Florida and the Gulf of Mexico early next week, possibly as a hurricane. However, its forecast intensity and track at that time are highly uncertain.

Tropical Depression Fourteen
Tropical Depression Fourteen has formed in the Caribbean Sea and is expected to first impact parts of Central America and Mexico as a tropical storm or hurricane before emerging into the western Gulf of Mexico. This system faces an uncertain future in the western Gulf of Mexico, but it could affect parts of the U.S. Gulf Coast next week as a hurricane.

Both are forecast to hit the Gulf Coast around the same time - talk about double whammy...

Smoke on the water

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What I was seeing yesterday was smoke from a wildfire. Cliff Mass points to this website: WA State Dept. of Ecology: Wildfire Information

Cooler today - slight overcast / cloudy and have some marine air moving in. Nice break from the heat.

And the mask slips

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Dr. Holthaus is a meteorologist and global warming promoter. From his Twitter account:

I saved a screen-cap as this will probably get taken down pretty soon. Must not weaken the narrative.

Getting hot and dry over there - Cliff Mass has the details:

Extreme Heat and Super Heat Low in Eastern Washington
Tomorrow should be a record-breaking day in eastern Washington with temperatures surging above 105F in a number of locations, accompanied skin-cracking low humidities and even moderate winds.

The forecast surface temperatures for tomorrow are simply stunning, with the Columbia Basin being ground zero for the warmth (the white areas are above 104F!),

More at the site - very dry too.

Still flooding in China

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60 days of higher than usual rain. Here are some videos from Hubei Province - no word as to which city.

Hubei Province is downstream from the Three Gorges Dam - its capitol city is Wuhan

Stormchaser's dream

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Quite the line of t-storms in the midwest today - from the Lightning Map


Wish I was there - I love a good thunderstorm. One bad aspect to living on the coast...

If you visit the map and scroll down, Mexico is getting hit quite spectacularly as well - whatever this is, it is a really big one. Aliens?

More news from Three Gorges Dam

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The water levels are only now just peaking - from Canada's Global News/Associated Press:

At least 14 killed by flooding in China as water peaks at Three Gorges Dam
At least 14 people have died in the latest round of seasonal rains and flooding in southern China, as soldiers and workers built makeshift barriers with sandbags and rocks Saturday to keep the Yangtze River and its tributaries at bay.

Three floodgates of the Three Gorges Dam that spans the Yangtze were opened as the water level behind the massive dam rose more than 15 meters above flood level, the official Xinhua News Agency reported.

And some trouble downstream:

Downriver, firefighters and others finished filling in a 188-meter (620-foot) break in a dike on Poyang Lake, China’s largest freshwater lake, Xinhua said.

The dike gave way nine days ago, flooding 15 villages and agricultural fields in Jiangxi province, the news agency said. More than 14,000 people were evacuated.

Floodwaters are forecast to peak today (Saturday) but more rain is forecast for this coming Tuesday. China is in a world of hurt for feeding its people as well as any agricultural export revenue.

Another Mike Olbinski video out.

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My two favorite storm chasers are Pecos Hank and Mike Olbinski. Two very different styles but both are incredible.

Mike's newest one is out - watch full screen with the sound turned up - simply delightful:

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