Recently in Climate Category

Stormy weather - WA State passes

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And the fun keeps getting funner.  From a WA State Department of Transportation email this morning:

Cross-state travel should not be attempted Thursday – passes to be closed until Saturday
As expected, extreme weather has created havoc across much of the state, leading to a number of closures including Snoqualmie, Stevens, White and Blewett passes. Conditions are so hazardous – including snow slides, trees falling and high avalanche concern – that it is too dangerous for our snow plow and avalanche control crews to be in the areas. Because of that, passes will not reopen until Saturday. Due to extreme avalanche danger we’ll need Friday to assess and clear passes once our crews can re-enter the areas.

Additionally, the two other east-west routes – SR 14 and Oregon’s I-84, which run through the Columbia River Gorge – are closed to freight traffic, with I-84 being closed to all vehicles.

The current conditions on the passes include very heavy snowfall, near-zero visibility and debris falling from the mountains onto the highway. Once the snowfall lets up, the forecast calls for heavy rain, including freezing rain, which will increase the avalanche issues.

Once we determine it is safe enough for our crews, there will still be significant work to do before we can reopen.

No place I have to be.  Working at home this afternoon.  Got a zoom meeting later but that is it.

From AccuWeather:

What to know about the next winter storm approaching the East Coast
The mid-Atlantic and New England will face the second snowstorm of the week from Thursday night into Friday. AccuWeather forecasters say accumulating snow will be disruptive across a large swath of the Northeast, including major cities from Washington, D.C., to Philadelphia, New York City and Boston.

Winter storm watches, warnings and advisories were issued across a large corridor of the United States from the South into the mid-Atlantic on Wednesday in advance of the snowstorm.

Arctic air will surge across the Midwest into Wednesday night, and a storm will form along the leading edge of the cold air as a dip in the jet stream provides enough fuel for a new system to develop. It will be a fairly fast-moving storm that will sweep eastward into the Northeast Thursday night into Friday.

"This will be a disruptive storm, and since cold air will be preceding the storm, snow will accumulate on roads as soon as it starts,” AccuWeather Chief On-Air Meteorologist Bernie Rayno said.

Makes me wonder where Al is these days?  (Gore Effect)

From the Mt. Baker Snow Report:

Yesterday was one for the books. We'd like to give our crew a HUGE shoutout for getting the mountain operational by midday after a blizzard dropped 30" of snow on Baker in 24 hours. It was an epic effort from everyone on the mountain, which then made for an incredibly epic day for all those who stayed to ski and ride that pow!

With the snow continuing to stack up and moderate winds expected today, there’s more sweet powder shredding to be had!

42" in the last 48 hours. From Seattle station KOMO:

Passes reach highest snow total in 20 years, more incoming
The region, especially the passes, has had a lot of snow and more is coming.

"Snoqualmie Pass has received 236" of snow, the highest total at this point in the season in 20 years," meteorologist Kristin Clark said. "The Cascades will get caked in more heavy snow, especially on Thursday, with over 30 inches forecast by the weekend."

Meanwhile, the East coast is still digging out - Virginia has over 217K customers without power The rest of the Eastern seabord is out too - Carolinas, Georga...

Global warming? A two-fer

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From the London Daily Mail:

Freezing snow storm Frida slams into East Coast and compounds nation's COVID paralysis: One million are left without power as up to 11 inches of snow falls, closing testing centers and D.C. government offices

A perfect storm! Biden gets SNOWED IN on Air Force One as he arrives in D.C. to disastrous poll numbers, rampant inflation, a stalled agenda, nation paralyzed by COVID, a lackluster VP, and the prospect of GOP landslide in the midterms

Looks like the middle-Eastern states are having some electrical issues too:


Virginia has 317,263 customers without power. Maryland, 39K, North Carolina 41K.

Moving to a warmer climate is a very prescient thing to be doing.  The Little Ice Age, the Dalton Minimum, the Maunder Minimum - those were not flukes.  This stuff happens.  It is one thing to preach doom and gloom and use computer models to back up your narrative.  Another thing entirely to go outside with a thermometer and a notebook and see what is actually happening out there.  It's a big world and what is being reported in the media is not necessarily what is actually happening.  The map is not the territory.

Stormy weather

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The rain has started - coming down heavy.

Mt. Baker is expecting a significant snowfall this weekend. Great news for the local economy.

And here we go again - midwest weather

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Here is a realtime map of lightning strikes as of a few minutes ago:


Looks like the tornadoes were just a warm-up act.

This sort of activity has happened before and it will happen again but it still sucks to be in the middle of it.

Crap - huge storm system

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It is not stopping. Carrying on into West Virginia, Pennsylvania and New York.
Here is the latest from PowerOutageUS:


Meanwhile, on the left side of the Nation, Washington and Oregon are still dealing with outages too - 13,328 and 11,096 respectivly.

Kentucky - tornado damage

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Brandon Clement from WX Chasing shot some footage of the destruction. NPR has it on their YouTube channel:

Storms in the midwest - update

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From the New York Post:

Tornadoes rip across 5 states, at least 50 dead
At least 50 people died when tornadoes swept across five states overnight, causing a train to derail and destroying a candle factory in Western Kentucky, tearing the roof off an Amazon warehouse in Illinois and obliterating a nursing home in Arkansas. Officials warned the death toll may rise as daybreak reveals the extent of the damage.

Hundreds of thousands of homes and businesses across seven states were also without power as the sun rose to reveal the path of destruction from the storms.

From Associated Press:

Dozens feared dead as tornadoes, storms strike US states
Tornadoes and severe weather caused catastrophic damage across multiple states late Friday, killing at least six people overnight as a storm system tore through a candle factory in Kentucky, an Amazon facility in Illinois and a nursing home in Arkansas. The Kentucky governor said he feared dozens more could be dead.

Gov. Andy Beshear said about 110 people were in the factory in Mayfield, Kentucky, when the tornado hit.

“We believe our death toll from this event will exceed 50 Kentuckians and probably end up 70 to 100,” he said at a news conference Saturday. “It’s very hard, really tough, and we’re praying for each and every one of those families.”

More as I hear about it.  Crap.

Storms in the midwest

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Woke up and it looks like they had a really rough night. A lot more power out all over a wide swath - one for the record books. From PowerOutageUS:   More as I find out about it.  Spent the night listening to the wind here as well - 32K cutomers without power up North in Whatcom County - heading up there tomorrow to work at the farm.

The numbers:

Top Areas by Outages


Not just here - high wind

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Looks like the midwest is getting hit with tornados.

St. Louis, MO station KMOV:

Amazon distribution center collapses in Edwardsville
There is a large emergency response at an Amazon distribution center in Edwardsville.

News 4’s Jenna Rae was on the scene shortly before 9:30 p.m. Friday and saw dozens of first responders arriving to the area. There have been reports that people were inside of the building when the collapse happened.


“He was on the phone with me while it was happening,” she recalled. “The tornado was hitting the back of the building, the trucks were coming in, I told him to jump out the truck and duck. We watched the building go up, stuff hitting the cars, I told him I was on my way.”

From Little Rock, Ak station KARK:

Tornado outbreak leaving path of deadly destruction through Arkansas
An outbreak of storms starting early Friday evening spawned tornadoes that ravaged communities throughout Arkansas and left at least two people dead.

Authorities in the small northeast Arkansas town of Monette issued a state of emergency and told residents to shelter in place.

Lots of power outages in the area. Missouri has 28,362 customers without power, Arkansas has 27,491, Illinois—35,669, Kentucky—18,278 and Tennesee—10,591

Prayers going out to the people and to the first responders.  This is unusual weather for this time of year.

Wind is picking up - right on schedule

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They were saying 7:00PM and bingo.


High Wind Warning from FRI 7:00 PM PST until SAT 4:00 AM PST

WHAT...South winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected.
WHERE...San Juan County, Western Whatcom County, North Coast, Central Coast, Western Skagit County and Admiralty Inlet Area.
WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 4 AM PST Saturday.
IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

Got candles and flashlights out.  This is not my first rodeo. Fortunately, it is out of the South so I am shielded by a large hillside in back of me. No waves crashing on the bulkhead this time.

The cluster of earthquakes off the Oregon coast seems to have quieted down a lot.  Two today but that was it.  Really hope that it was the Subduction Zone relieving some pent-up stress and not a precursor to the next (and overdue) big one.

Now it's their turn - East Coast storm

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From the London Daily Mail:

'This looks like a Planes, Trains and Automobiles storm': Heavy snow and rain across Northeast and Midwest next week is expected to 'throw a wrench' into Thanksgiving travel plans for up to 50 million Americans

    • Forecasters are keeping their eye on weather patterns that could wreak havoc for travelers trying to reach their Thanksgiving destinations next week
    • Models predict a storm forming in the central plains next Sunday and dumping snow across parts of Minnesota, north Wisconsin and northern Michigan
    • The storm could result in 'heavy accumulations' from northern Indiana and Michigan to Maryland next Monday through Wednesday
    • Inclement weather might trigger heavy rainfalls along the east coast Monday and Tuesday, possibly hitting New York City, Boston and Chicago, potentially leading to flooding and disrupted ground travel
    • More than 53 million Americans are expected to travel during the long weekend
    • AAA advised the 4.2 million Americans expected to fly this year to visit their loved ones to prepare for long lines and to make extra time for TSA checks

A winter storm is set to wallop central and eastern US next week, wreaking havoc on roads and flights as more than 53 million Americans make their way home for Thanksgiving - after many were forced to skip last year's gatherings due to Covid

The National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center warned the storm could be 'potentially significant.'

And please note - this is not global warming. This is weather.
It has happened before and it will happen again.

Our quiet sun - China

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From the South China Morning Post:

More people die from cold than from heat.


They are doing so well on economics, covid, education, etc... 
Let's give them even more of our hard-earned money to repair climate.
Wait a minute?  How does the climate need repairing?  It's broken?

From Cliff Mass:

Major Flooding Ahead as A Strong Atmospheric River Aims at the Northwest
After a relatively dry summer, the Northwest is experiencing one of the wettest autumns in a long time.

September and October brought above-normal precipitation around the region. November is going to smash typical monthly precipitation amounts at most stations.

Over the next few days, a powerful atmospheric river of moisture surging out of the subtropics will inundate our region, with the western slopes of some of our terrain barriers experiencing as much as 10 inches of rain. Falling on saturated soils, westside rivers will surge to flood stage...some to major flood stage.

Water vapor satellite imagery (which measures the amount of infrared radiation emitted by atmospheric water vapor), shows an impressive plume of water vapor extending from north of Hawaii into our region. Perhaps a part of the "aloha spirit" that is not as welcome as others.


And yeah, it's coming down now.  Planning a trip to the farm Sunday/Monday.  Loading up the van between now and then.  Looks like I will be using a lot of garbage bags to keep things somewhat dry.  Also planning to bring the new trailer back down.  The fun never stops...

Global warming? Winter Olympics

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Looks like China might be having some unseasonably cold weather for the Winter Olympics.
From the Communist Chinese house organ Global Times:

Beijing Winter Olympics fully prepared for cold waves, as artificial snowmaking meets low-carbon standards
As the city of Beijing is expected to experience one of the coldest winters ever this year, which could be subject to other weather extremes, Beijing Winter Olympics meteorological security researchers said the organizing committee has prepared for various weather conditions to ensure that the outdoor events will not be affected by sudden weather extremes.


In Beijing, this winter's first major snowfall came 23 days earlier than usual, as a severe cold wave hit many parts of China over the weekend with heavy snowfalls and plunging temperatures. 

Yeah...  #1) - the world is cooling off and #2) - yes, we do influence the overall climate but this influence is a pittance.  A few percent at best.  The idea that our activities can cause a profound change is pure fscking hubris.

Stormy weather - local passes

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Nothing happening up here but things are moving in - local weather has just a small craft advisory until 11PM tonight.  South of here, got some mountain passes closed temporarily.  From the WA State DOT:  "Chinook and Cayuse passes are temporarily closed due to collisions and adverse weather"

Waiting for the big one to hit sometime Monday.

Yesterday, I wrote about how China was telling its citizens: Be prepared - 30 days of food, water, etc...

This was in Chinese on an internal website - not an English language house organ like Global Times or South China Morning Post

Today, from Zero Hedge:

La Nina Sparks "Cold Wave" Across China As CCP Tells Households To Stockpile Food
China Meteorological Administration (CMA) warned Thursday of a cold blast to sweep across the country from northwestern to southeastern China due to a La Nina weather event.

Xue Jianjun, deputy director of CMA, said: "The cold air will bring a plunge in temperature nationwide compared with mid-October. The cold wave came from west Siberia which was then enhanced by cold air from the North Pole." 

"Heavy snow or rain will take over the Northeast and North China and the Inner Mongolia autonomous region, and farmers there should store corns outdoors ahead of the precipitation," Jianjun said.

CMA warned last month that a La Nina weather pattern would bring colder weather to the country. The timing of the cooler air is problematic amid an energy crisis that has resulted in nationwide power rationings

Beijing understood ahead of time La Nina would bring colder weather. It ordered the country's top state-owned energy companies to secure coal supplies for this winter at all costs in September. 

State-run news outlet Xinhua News Agency said, "the possibility of phased extreme and strong cooling events is high." 

Colder weather will also mean more precipitation and flooding as well as a late start to the 2022 agricultural season. They have to import soybeans and coal. Wonder how much actual hard currency they have.

Feel it in my bones - storms

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Going to be a typical but interesting November - from Cliff Mass:

A Very Stormy November Ahead
For the Northwest, November is the stormiest month of the year by almost every measure.

A month in which strong low-pressure areas or midlatitude cyclones move off the Pacific Ocean towards our region.

The next week is going to be extraordinarily active and it will be a miracle if western Washington or western Oregon escapes one of the big blows.

Fast forward to this:

Had enough? Sorry.
The most impressive storm is just offshore on Monday afternoon, and it is VERY deep, with a central pressure of 951 hPa. Deeper than the famed Columbus Day Storm. Sustained winds of 50-65 knots. You don't want to know about the gusts.

Oregon coast is going to bear the brunt.

Warm and cloudy - spitting rain off and on.  Heading out to get the mail and some groceries.
Time to batten down the hatches.

And missed it by —><— that much

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Happy news for those downstream - the river crested just below flood stage last night:


More rain is coming in today though - we will see...

And it is rising.  8:15PM and we are at 28,300 cubic feet per second flow rate and a height of 12.66 feet. Probably hit flood stage in the next hour or so.

The rain outside has slowed down a lot - not pouring.  It usually takes a half-day for this to manifest in the river level - a lot of water being dumped into the watershed so looks like we have some flooding due tonight.  I'll be up for another hour or so - see what happens.

The river gonna rise.  Approaching flood stage. At 7:15PM, the flow rate is at 25,400 cubic feet per minute.

The height is at 12.17 feet - flood stage is at just below 13 feet (the red line at the top):


The river gauge reads every hour.  At 7:15, it was 19,100.  At 8:15 it is 22,300 cubic feet per second with no sign of slowing down:


Waves are pounding on the beach too - wind and weather.  Not a fit night for man nor beast.

Got a nice bowl of homemade bean soup in me with some toasted baguette slathered with butter. Life is not too shabby...

The difference a few hours makes

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Ho. Li. Crap.  Going to have to swing by there after work tomorrow with a camera - it is raging:


Compare with four hours ago:


From around 5,700 cubic feet per second to 19,100 at present.  3.3 times and no sign of stopping.

A bit wet outside - local river

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The Mighty Stillaguamish is approaching flood stage.  Here is a sensor about 30 miles upstream from where I am:


The little yellow triangles are the running average from 93 years of records.  You can see the spike from the last storm peaking on the 27th.  And here we go again.  Great for the snowpack though - going to be a good year for skiing...

Yikes - Massachusetts UPDATE

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Turns out that they were walloped by a Nor'easter of unusual size.  Used to live there and know the affected areas very well. At the height, they had 497K customers without power.  Now, they are down to a mere 384K

From The Boston Globe:

Some communities are completely without power after Nor’easter lashes region with strong winds and rain
A powerful nor’easter lashed the state with heavy rain and wind gusts topping 90 miles per hour, downing trees and wires, and knocking out power for nearly 500,000 customers in Massachusetts, hitting hardest in the southeastern part of the state. Roads and schools were closed, and some homeowners had rude awakenings, finding massive tree trunks lying on their properties.

Governor Charlie Baker warned at an afternoon news conference that the storm’s impacts were still being felt and said restoration of power would be a “multi-day process.” Officials at the news conference asked people to regard every downed wire as a live wire; to drive carefully and keep an eye out for tree branches, work crews, and flooded roads; to be good neighbors, and to be patient.


State officials late Wednesday morning reported more than 497,000 customers without power. The tally had dipped to 387,314 as of 11 p.m.

Martha's Vinyard was hit pretty hard - winds up to 94MPH.  This is where Obama has his 40 acre beachfront house.
We do live on a wild and glorious planet.

The Winter Storm of 2021 - aftermath

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The storm kinda fell apart when it made landfall.  This was as forecast.

Lots of cleanup and the linemen are still out restoring power. B.C. has 16,391 customers without power. WA State is doing a lot better with only 48,564, CA has 120,857 and Oregon got off easy with 3,833

Meanwhile, the mid-Eastern seabord is due for a big one there today - details as it happens...

Biig meeting in Glasgow - the worldwide Climate confab. Everyone is doing their best to appear environmentally friendly. Needless to say, electric vehicles are everywhere.  Land Rover donated 240 vehicles to "the cause".

Slight problem - no place to charge them.  Diesel generators have been brought in. 
From The Spectator:

Shock, horror! COP26 has an electric car problem
If absurdity were a source of renewable energy, the COP26 climate change summit might achieve its aim of saving the planet. Yesterday Mr S brought news that local lawyers are set to join rail engineers, transport operators, catering staff and refuse collectors in timing industrial action to coincide with next week’s eco-jamboree. Now Steerpike learns of a fresh crisis afflicting the UN conference: there’s not enough places to power the luxury electric cars needed to ferry delegates around the city.

Some 240 Jaguar Land Rover vehicles including its I-PACE SUVs will be laid on by the UK government to move the 120 visiting heads of state and their entourages between their hotels and the SEC venue. Unfortunately a lack of charging points means the fleet now has to be re-charged by cooking oil-powered generators. A COP26 spokesperson has confirmed that the substitute generators may have to run on hydrogenated vegetable oil – recycled cooking oil – derived from waste products. 

More at the site.  The more serious a face these people put on, the sillier they become.  The more transparent their grift becomes. Our sun is a variable star - our climate has warmed and it has cooled.  Carbon Dioxide is PLANT FOOD and recorded levels have been up to 9,000 parts per million - up from the 500 ppm we are at today.  There is no cause for concern.

The "science" of climate change is a grift  -  pure and simple.  All about the Benjamins.

The Winter storm of 2021 - an update

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Cliff Mass has an update - TL;DR - landfall Monday in a weakened state.

The Storm's Future is Now Known
The models have converged to a consistent solution, the storm is beginning to "bomb", and I can now provide a forecast with some confidence.

This will be the strongest Northwest storm on record, but its strength will collapse as it approaches the coast of Vancouver Island. More quickly than any storm in my experience.

And there will be strong winds over land, but not from the south, but from the east, as air is pulled westward by the immense, powerful storm offshore.

Strong Easterly winds which is good for the island house - I face due North and Northerly winds cause a lot of spray on the side of the house.  Easterly is a lot better.  Southern is best.

8PM Sunday for landfall.  Should be interesting to say the least. So far, no power outages to speak of.

Its forces are being felt even now - from Seattle station KOMO:

Vessel lost around 40 shipping containers off Washington coast because of rough seas
The U.S. Coast Guard says about 40 shipping containers are adrift off the coast of Washington after a vessel lost the containers in rough seas.

According to the Coast Guard, the containers are about 43 miles west of the entrance to the Straits of Juan de Fuca.

En route to Canada.

Talkin' 'bout the weather - the storm

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I can feel it out there.  Big. has this for the island:

High Wind Watch from SUN 8:00 AM PDT until MON 8:00 AM PDT
WHAT...Southeast wind of 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph are possible.
WHERE...San Juan County, Western Whatcom County, Western Skagit County, Admiralty Inlet Area, Western Strait of Juan De Fuca, North Coast and Central Coast.
WHEN...From Sunday morning through Monday morning.
IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

So far, no outages in Canada to speak of.

Cliff Mass has this update and podcast:

Update on the Strongest Coastal Cyclone in Northwest History and an Introduction to Pacific Cyclones. All in my New Podcast
My new podcast is out (see below) and in it I describe the hurricane-force storms that can hit Northwest and provide an update on the extraordinary Sunday/Monday event.

And I have to admit something: meteorologists are not exactly sure where the big storm will make landfall.

However, the formation of an unprecedented storm is nearly a sure thing, with the very latest forecasts of sea level pressure for Sunday morning from both the U.S. and European models predicteing the strongest Northwest storm in history with pressures below 945 hPa (see below). Just crazy. Equivalent to a category three hurricane.

Wunnerful...   I am scheduled to go up to the farm Sunday as I have a 9:30AM Monday appointment for the van to have service in Bellingham.  We will see what happens

Gonna be rough out there:

If I didn't have so much else on my plate I would drive out to the coast and shoot some video. Going to be spectacular.
Not as spectacular as this recent weather forecast but still...
Cliff Mass has a good update.

Looks like Global Warming has stalled out.  Not a good thing. More people die from cold than do from heat.
From The Seattle Times:

South Pole posts most severe cold season on record, an anomaly in a warming world
Amid a record hot summer in large parts of Northern Hemisphere, beset by devastating fires, floods and hurricanes, Antarctica was mired in a deep, deep freeze. That’s typically the case during the southernmost continent’s winter months, but 2021 was different.

The chill was exceptional, even for the coldest location on the planet.

The average temperature at the Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station between April and September, a frigid minus-78 degrees (minus-61 Celsius), was the coldest on record, dating back to 1957. This was 4.5 degrees lower than the most recent 30-year average.

We first learned of this record through a tweet from Stefano Di Battista, who has published research on Antarctic temperatures. The legitimacy of Di Battista’s information was confirmed by Richard Cullather, a research scientist at NASA’s Global Modeling and Assimilation Office.

The temperature averaged over September was also the coldest on record at South Pole, wrote David Bromwich, a polar researcher at Ohio State University, in an email.

And for the record, this last summer was hot but not anomalous, some records were set but extended heat of this nature has been common through history. Not every year but every thirty for sure.

Not a time to be in Alaska.  From Cliff Mass:

A Superstorm of Tropical Origin Will Develop Off the Northwest Coast on Thursday
I have been watching this storm for a while, and I am now certain enough to tell you about it.

A powerful, unusually deep storm will develop off the Northwest coast on Thursday.

A mid-latitude cyclone that began as a tropical storm (Namtheun), now over the western Pacific.

Below is the 96-hour forecast valid at 5 AM Thursday (PDT) of sea level pressure from the U.S. NOAA/GFS model. The solid lines are isobars (lines of constant sea level pressure).

Amazing...the storm, located due west of our coast, has a central pressure is 952 hPa, which is very, very low for a mid-latitude cyclones at our latitude.

This storm is deeper (lower pressure) than the extreme Columbus Day storm of October 12, 1962--the greatest storm to hit the Northwest in 100 years or more.

Lots more at the site.  Fortunately for us, it will hit further North - Alaska and Northern Vancouver Island and British Columbia.  Still... Something to keep a weather-eye out for.

From the Department of Global Warming

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From MSN/Argus Leader:

Western South Dakota, Black Hills sees 27 inches of snow in a day during first big winter storm
Western South Dakota experienced the state's first major snowfall of the season and saw up to 27 inches of snow in parts of the Black Hills.

A location three miles east/northeast of Deadwood received 27 inches during the 24-hour snow storm, according to the National Weather Service.

Residents of Rapid City reported just over three inches of snow accumulation, according to snowfall reports from the NSW.

I-90 was closed. And meanwhile - from National Public Radio:

U.S. households will pay more to heat their homes this winter, officials say
U.S. households can expect to spend more money to heat their homes this winter compared with last year, federal officials announced.

A report released Wednesday by the Energy Information Administration predicts that home heating costs will go up because fuel prices are rising and fuel demand has increased over the previous winter.

Many energy prices dropped considerably last winter due to a sharp drop in demand brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. But the agency said prices have since rebounded, in part because of the economic recovery, and in some cases have reached multiyear highs.

Gee - if only we had a pipeline to bring cheap gas from Canada to our houses. Last year's drop in energy prices were due to President Trump's energy policies and not a drop in demand.  More people were staying home last year - that would yield an increase in demand (but it would not fit the narrative).

Downright chilly outside

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Cold with wind - the bite of winter is in the air.  Building a fire. I can smell that other neighbors have done this too.  Good weather for it.

Two headlines from Seattle station KOMO:

Last cold weather like this was back in 1946. Global warming much?

Gale forecast? Hold my beer...

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Cliff Mass keeps us up to date on the Gulf of Alaska:

Gulf of Alaska Storm Season Begins
Some of the most ferocious storms of the planet develop in our backyard: the Gulf of Alaska.

Storms that are not hurricanes or typhoons but capable of producing winds and waves comparable to Category 3 tropical storms.

And one will occur in a few days
The satellite imagery of these storms is remarkable, as illustrated by a powerful example from September 26, 2012. Masses of frontal clouds swirl into the low center, not unlike water circling into a drain. The low center is in the center of the swirl.

And how big?

This is a rapidly intensifying storm (it was 992 hPa only 24 h before) and thus is called an atmospheric BOMB. Atmospheric bombs must deepen by at least 24 hPa in 24 h. This one doubles that. Impressive. Very impressive.

Yowsa. Fall is definitely in the air.

A little bundle of joy - Gale Forecast

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Gale Watch from WED 9:00 AM PDT until WED 11:00 PM PDT


WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, south winds 15 to 30 kt. For the Gale Watch, southeast winds 25 to 35 kt possible.

WHERE...Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 9 AM PDT Wednesday. For the Gale Watch, from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening.

IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to 47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider altering their plans.

Just another day in paradise...

About the coming deluge

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Cliff Mass posted some more info about this weekend's deluge. Here is a photo of what is heading our way:


Wet in anyone's book...

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The Strata-Sphere
The Smallest Minority
The Volokh Conspiracy
Tim Blair
Weasel Zippers

Gone but not Forgotten...
A Coyote at the Dog Show
Bad Eagle
Steven DenBeste
democrats give conservatives indigestion
Cox and Forkum
The Diplomad
Priorities & Frivolities
Gut Rumbles
Mean Mr. Mustard 2.0
Neptunus Lex
Other Side of Kim
Ramblings' Journal
Sgt. Stryker
shining full plate and a good broadsword
A Physicist's Perspective
The Daily Demarche
Wayne's Online Newsletter

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