A nice essay on the past thirty-four years of global warming - where is it?

From Real Clear Politics:
The End of an Illusion
Many years ago, I remember thinking that it would take many years to refute the panicked claims about global warming. Unlike most political movements, which content themselves with making promises about, say, what the unemployment rate will be in two years if we pass a giant stimulus bill�claims that are proven wrong (and how!) relatively quickly�the environmentalists had successfully managed to put their claims so far off into the future that it would take decades to test them against reality.

But guess what? The decades are finally here.

At Forbes, Harry Binswanger dates the beginning of the campaign to 1979 and puts it in an amusing perspective:
"Remember 1979? That was the year of 'We Are Family' by Sister Sledge, of 'The Dukes of Hazard' on TV, and of Kramer vs. Kramer on the silver screen. It was the year the Shah was forced out of Iran. It was before the web, before the personal computer, before the cell phone, before voicemail and answering machines. But not before the global warming campaign.

"In January of 1979, a New York Times article was headlined: 'Experts Tell How Antarctic Ice Could Cause Widespread Floods.'...

"So where's the warming? Where are the gondolas pulling up to the Capitol? Where are the encroaching seas in Florida? Or anywhere? Where is the climate change which, for 33 years, has been just around the corner?"
He concludes that "I've grown old waiting for the promised global warming." Literally: "I was 35 when predictions of a looming ice age were supplanted by warmmongering. Now I'm 68, and there's still no sign of warmer weather."

He puts the issue in terms of common-sense observation. But it can also be measured in terms of hard data. We're reaching the point where the predictions have been around long enough to allow for significant comparison against the actual data, and we are now able to say definitively that the predictions were horribly exaggerated.
What he said -- what we are measuring is a normal climate variation and a possible cooling period similar to the Maunder Minimum in the near future. Our sun drives our climate and it is entering a quiet phase.

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This page contains a single entry by DaveH published on April 4, 2013 9:28 PM.

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