We had the cyclones but now it is time for some good old-fashioned winter rain.
From Cliff Mass:
Rain Returns to the Northwest
It has been extremely dry during the past week over the Pacific Northwest, and dry conditions will continue into Thursday.
But by the weekend, the rain will return.
Dry periods extended into the first week of November is not that unusual in western Washington and Oregon, but for it to continue into the second and third week would be extraordinarily unusual. And this won't happen this year.
Let's forecast the right way, looking at ensembles of many forecasts. Below are the 21 members of the U.S. GEFS ensemble. The accumulated precipitation of each member at Sea Tac is shown. Precipitation is flatlined for all members until November 7th, after which there is a steady rise. This is called a plume diagram by the way, with each line being one member.
Ahhh yes - life in the Pacific Northwet. Sort of a double whammy - rain and very short days. Time to focus my thoughts inward - building and outfitting the shop. I have a bunch of projects I want to get done this winter: amateur radio, CNC machining, blacksmithing, welding, electronics, programming and get a bunch of stuff listed on eBay. The months are going to fly past...
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