The IHME model is garbage - COVID-19

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Garbage in, garbage out. From Sean Davis' twitter account: (IHME = Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation)

Go and read through his twitter account - he tweets the numbers for each state and every single one of them is much lower than the forecast IHME model prediction for today. Some of them are two or three times lower. Some of them are more than ten times lower. The IHME model is garbage but we are still relying on it to set policy.

There is hope from The White House - from PJ Media:

White House Officials Privately Questioning Virus Death Toll Numbers
Some officials in the Trump White House are questioning the death toll numbers publicized by the coronavirus task force projecting 100,000 to 240,000 dead Americans.

In fact, one of the researchers whose data was used by the White House to project the death toll is also wondering how the coronavirus task force arrived at its conclusions.

The Hill:

According to the Post, several White House staffers have doubted the accuracy of the figures. One source said  Anthony Fauci, an immunologist who is coordinating the coronavirus task force, told others there were too many factors at play to come up with an accurate estimate.

“I’ve looked at all the models. I’ve spent a lot of time on the models. They don’t tell you anything. You can’t really rely upon models,” he said to members of the task force, according to the Post.

Except when it comes to global warming, then the models are proof enough to suck $30 trillion out of the economy in the next 20 years.

So true - the models are only as accurate as the people who make them. You can tweak a model to show anything you want. See the last 40 years of "climate change" for a good example.

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This page contains a single entry by DaveH published on April 3, 2020 12:01 PM.

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