The IHME is the group that has been predicting catastrophic sickness and death from the Chinese Flu - sickness and death which have yet to materialize.
I linked to this on April 3rd: The IHME model is garbage - COVID-19
Turns out the IHME is interesting - from Derek Hunter at Town Hall:
Is What We’re Being Told About The Coronavirus Pandemic Wrong?
Predicting the future is a tough racket. If people were any good at it, we’d all be multiple lottery winners. Since we aren’t, that’s a pretty good indication that we have the ability to guess what will happen, but possess no clairvoyance. That brings us to today, when the country and the world are shut down over what is expected to happen with the coronavirus. Like everything else, the predictions aren’t panning out. Were this just $2 wasted on a lottery ticket it wouldn’t matter. But are we hurting millions of people and spending trillions of dollars on nothing more than a hunch based on computer models that are wildly inaccurate?
There’s no question the coronavirus is deadly and dangerous, but is it going to kill hundreds of thousands in the US and millions around the world? We have no idea. All we have are guesses. But if you’re going to destroy the economy and severely restrict people’s lives, you’d better have some damn good information backing up your actions. There are questions about the computer models being used to impose just that.
One prominent model in the shutdown is from the University of Washington, from their Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), funded by Bill and Melinda Gates. How closely does what they predicted track with reality so far? Turns out, not so well.
Much more at the site - there is a larger than usual error in the reporting of data because so many people have not been tested but still, to have your model be off by ten or more times and not issue a correction is absurd. And it is always off in the same direction - overstating the predicted number of hospitalizations and deaths. It never understates.
The article also links to this little bit from the CDC (the last paragraph):
Should “COVID-19” be reported on the death certificate only with a confirmed test?
COVID-19 should be reported on the death certificate for all decedents where the disease caused or is assumed to have caused or contributed to death. Certifiers should include as much detail as possible based on their knowledge of the case, medical records, laboratory testing, etc. If the decedent had other chronic conditions such as COPD or asthma that may have also contributed, these conditions can be reported in Part II. (See attached Guidance for Certifying COVID-19 Deaths)
The emphasis is theirs, not mine. The cause of death will be shown as COVID-19 even if the patient died of caridac arrest or a stroke or cancer or... The other "cause of death" will be listed on Part II of the reporting form - who reads Part II of anything if they are looking to gin up a flashy news story.
This plague is 90% political and 10% medical.
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